Market Place
In 2022, the world finally began to emerge out of Covid-related
restrictions. Though 2020 and 2021 saw several travel-related curbs, there was
no let up in the speed at which generic active pharmaceutical ingredient (API)
manufacturers were submitting Drug Master Files (DMFs) to the US Food and Drug
Administration (FDA). In the four years between 2018 and 2021, the number of
Type II DMF submissions (i.e. submissions for drug substance, drug substance
intermediate, and material used in their preparation, or drug product) remained
steady at over 630 per year.In 2022, the DMF submissions rose at an impressive pace of 12.1
percent. A total of 1,024 DMFs (Types II, III, IV and V) were submitted in
2022, as opposed to 913 in 2021.Last year, Type II DMF submissions increased by 7.2 percent — a total of 715 Type II DMFs were submitted in 2022 as opposed to 667 in 2021. However, of the 715 DMFs filed with the FDA, only 190 (26 percent) had their reviews completed.View FDA DMF Filings in 2022 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available) DMF submissions from India dip 10.6%, China’s filings increase 45%As always, DMFs filed from India and China were significantly higher than DMFs from other countries. However, the year saw DMF submissions from India drop by 10.6 percent. Overall DMF submission from India stood at 336, as opposed to 376 in 2021. In comparison, China’s DMF filings increased by 45 percent to 231 in 2022, as opposed to 159 in 2021. Interestingly, FDA had issued 31 Form 483s in 2022 out of which 15 were issued to Indian drugmakers. Out of 15, seven Form 483s were issued to manufacturing units belonging to four Indian API manufacturers — Lupin, Aurobindo Pharma, Torrent and Biocon Biologics.While DMFs are submissions to FDA that may be used to provide
confidential, detailed information about facilities, processes, or articles
used in the manufacturing, processing, packaging, and storing of human drug
products, a Form 483 is a notification sent by the FDA to a
drugmaker regarding objectionable conditions at a facility. A Form 483 is
issued at the conclusion of an inspection, when an investigator finds
regulatory violations and/or non-compliance of good manufacturing practices. January 2023 saw a spate of Form
483s issued to Indian drugmakers, raising concerns within the pharma
industry.View FDA DMF Filings in 2022 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available) India’s Metrochem API tops DMF submissionsIndia’s Metrochem API led the list of companies with the highest number of DMF submissions at 19. MSN Labs stood second with 16 submissions.Other top Indian companies were Aurobindo Pharma (15), Biophore India (15), Hetero Group (11) and Cipla (10), followed by two Chinese companies — BrightGene Bio-Medical Technology and Changzhou Pharmaceutical Factory — with 9 submissions each.The maximum number of DMF filings were for elagolix sodium (11), empagliflozin (eight), tofacitinib citrate (six), revefenacin (six), apixaban (five), brivaracetam (five), cannabidiol (five), followed by mirabegron (five) and tafamidis (five).A total of 79 DMFs were filed for the
first time for 64 products, of which 28 had their GDUFA (Generic Drug User Fee Amendments) review
completed. These
include revefenacin (six), migalastat hydrochloride (three), cupric sulfate (three), ivosidenib (two), upadacitinib (one) and voxelotor (one). Revefenacin is losing
its marketing exclusivity this year.View FDA DMF Filings in 2022 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available) Our viewIn our last (H1 2022) review of DMF submissions, we had mentioned that less than half of the 350 Type II DMFs filed by the FDA had been reviewed, as the user fee program had not been reauthorized.FDA published the New GDUFA III fee structure at the eleventh hour — on September 30, 2022. GDUFA III includes several enhancements to the abbreviated new drug
application (ANDA) assessment process to maximize the efficiency and utility of
each assessment cycle. These enhancements aim to reduce the number of
assessment cycles and facilitate timely access to safe, effective, high-quality
and affordable generics.With the GDUFA III, the US government has made clear its intent to
lower generic drug prices. In future, more drugs are likely to go off-patent and we are likely to see the number of
DMF submissions rise even further.In
the second quarter of 2022, FDA resumed unannounced inspections in India. The regulator has also stepped up onsite inspections. FDA wants cheaper drugs, but not at the cost of quality. There are no short-cuts for generic and bulk drug manufacturers wanting to export to the US.(This article has been updated to accurately reflect the information on Metrochem API and MSN Labs.)
Impressions: 2216
https://www.pharmacompass.com/radio-compass-blog/dmf-submissions-rise-12-1-in-2022-india-sees-10-6-drop-in-type-ii-filings
#PharmaFlow by PHARMACOMPASS
02 Feb 2023
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The year
2021 was eclipsed by the Covid-19 pandemic. In our update for the first half of 2020, we had mentioned that
Covid-19 has not slowed down the speed at which generic active pharmaceutical
ingredient (API) manufacturers were submitting Drug Master Files (DMFs) to the
US Food and Drug Administration (FDA). That trend continued in 2021, when the
speed of DMF submissions to the agency remained similar to that witnessed in
the previous years.
In fact,
Type II DMFs, or DMFs for active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), were higher
in 2021 as compared to previous years. In the first quarter, FDA received 164
Type II DMF submissions, which rose to 165, 166 and 172 submissions over the
next three quarters. In all, 667 Type II DMFs were filed in 2021, as opposed to
662 in 2020, 633 in 2019 and 644 in 2018.
DMFs are
submissions made to the FDA by manufacturers who provide the agency with
confidential, detailed information about facilities, processes or articles used
in manufacturing, processing, packaging and storing of human drug
products.
Overall,
2021 saw a total of 913 DMFs (Type II, III, IV and V) being submitted. In
comparison, FDA had received 931 DMF submissions in 2020, 894 in 2019 and 979
in 2018.
View FDA DMF Filings in 2021 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
India
continues to lead DMF filings, followed by China
Country-wise
data on DMF filings at
the FDA tells us the potential of a country in the field of pharmaceuticals. At the company-level, with each DMF filing, a firm commits itself to manufacturing drugs in a facility that is aligned to the FDA’s rules and regulations.
This year
too, DMFs filed from India and China were significantly higher than those from
other countries. Expectedly, India continued to lead with 376 DMF filings.
Submissions from India were over twice that of DMF filings from China (at 159).
This is not surprising since the two countries have the maximum number of API
manufacturing facilities registered with the FDA.
As compared
to this, the United States had 52 DMF filings, Italy had 10, Spain and Taiwan
had 9 each, and countries like Canada, Israel, Japan and UK had five DMF
filings each.
View FDA DMF Filings in 2021 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
India’s MSN Labs leads DMF count
As in the
past, India's MSN Laboratories continued to lead the DMF filings by a single company with 43 submissions. MSN was followed by five other Indian companies — Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories filed 15 submissions, Hetero Group and Aurobindo Pharma 14, Metrochem API 13 and Aurore Life Sciences filed 12 DMF submissions.
The only
Chinese company in the top 10 by DMF count was Brightgene Bio-Medical Technology Limited with nine DMF submissions.
The maximum
number of DMF filings were for semaglutide (eight), followed by favipiravir (seven), apalutamide (six), sitagliptin phosphate (six) and tofacitinib citrate (six). Others like acalabrutinib, elagolix sodium, lenalidomide, liraglutide and pantoprazole sodium had five DMF filings each.
View FDA DMF Filings in 2021 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
Slow
assessment review, higher GDUFA fee
Although
there were 667 Type II DMFs filed with the FDA, only 194 (or 29 percent) had
their review completed. The GDUFA (short for Generic Drug User Fee Amendments)
fee associated with a DMF assessment review for 2021 was considerably higher — at US$ 69,921 — as opposed to US$ 57,795 for 2020. For FY 2022, the GDUFA fee has been revised upward to US$ 74,952 (an increase of US$ 5,031).
There are 42
products for which a DMF was filed for the first time. Among the patented
products which should expect generic competition are avatrombopag, encorafenib, esketamine hydrochloride, siponimod fumaric acid, tedizolid phosphate and vorapaxar sulfate.
In fact,
DMFs were also filed for products that are yet to receive an FDA approval. Some of these products are imeglimin, aviptadil, gimeracil, linzagolix choline, meglumine antimoniate, roluperidone hydrochloride and teneligliptin.
View FDA DMF Filings in 2021 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
Our view
The Covid-19
pandemic revealed how the global supply chain for pharmaceuticals is excessively dependent on India and China. As a
result, many countries across the world are making investments into expanding
their API production capacities. This should translate into more Type II DMF
filings from countries other than India and China.
Moreover, as the pandemic begins to wane and the FDA increases its inspections — both domestic and international — compliance issues are bound to increase. The US is planning to run a pilot program
soon that will test a system of unannounced inspections in India and China.
Companies in both India and China will need to increase their focus on
compliance if they wish to continue to be major contributors to the global
supply chain for pharmaceuticals. We can certainly expect more regulatory news
in 2022.View FDA DMF Filings in 2021 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
Impressions: 5386
https://www.pharmacompass.com/radio-compass-blog/dmf-submissions-in-2021-india-china-continue-to-top-filings
#PharmaFlow by PHARMACOMPASS
17 Feb 2022
In case you thought Covid-19 had slowed down the speed at
which generic active
pharmaceutical ingredient (API) manufacturers were submitting Drug Master Files (DMFs) to the
US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), you are in for a pleasant surprise.
During the first half of this year, the industry maintained its momentum of
filing DMFs with the FDA.
In the
first six months of this year, FDA received 283 DMF submissions (against 616
for the full year of 2019). Expectedly, India continued to lead with 155 DMF
filings. Submissions from India were more than double the amount of those made
by Chinese (45) and American firms (30) combined.
This
trend has been witnessed for some time now. In 2019, out of the 616 active DMF submissions to the FDA, Indian
companies had submitted more than half (331), though the submissions from India
were a little less than double of those made by Chinese and American firms.
Drug
master files (DMFs) are submissions made to the FDA by manufacturers who
provide the agency with confidential, detailed information about facilities, processes,
or articles used in manufacturing, processing, packaging, and storing of
human drug products.View FDA DMF Filings by June 2020 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
India’s MSN Labs leads total count of DMF filings
As in the past, India’s MSN Laboratories continued to
lead the DMF filings by a single company with 40 submissions, followed by Dr Reddy’s (8) and Metrochem API (7).
MSN has always been a pioneer in being the first to file a DMF for new products. This year was no different. The firm submitted the first DMF for 11 products — Abaloparatide, Abemaciclib, Amifampridine Phosphate, Betrixaban Maleate, Fenfluramine Hydrochloride, Lofexidine Hydrochloride, Neratinib Maleate, Ozenoxacin, Rolapitant Hydrochloride, Tafamidis, Valbenazine Tosylate.
There
were also first DMF filings by AMRI (Brexanolone), Formosa Laboratories (Elagolix Sodium), Glenmark Life Sciences (Solriamfetol Hydrochloride) and Hikal (Ertugliflozin L-Pyroglutamic Acid).
The API
DMF is part of the final generic drug product submission to the FDA. Therefore,
the owner of a DMF incurs a one-time fee, the first time the generic drug
submission references that DMF. DMF holders may also pay the fee in advance in
order to have their DMF subjected to an initial completeness assessment by the
FDA. This would allow their DMF to be included on a publicly available list of
DMFs that have paid their fee and have not failed the initial completeness
assessment.
View FDA DMF Filings by June 2020 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
Assessment
review of only 62 DMFs completed by the FDA
While 283 DMFs were submitted to the FDA, only 22 percent of them — or 62 DMFs — have had their assessment review completed by the FDA so far. The GDUFA fee associated with a DMF assessment review for the current fiscal year is US$ 57,795. It has been revised upward
to US$ 69,921 (an increase of US$ 12,126) for the upcoming fiscal year, which
starts in October.
Although
MSN led in the number of DMF filings, it had no assessments completed for its
DMF submissions in the first half of the year. Three Indian companies, Aurobindo, Honour Lab and Intas, and one Chinese company, Jiangsu Hengrui, led in the maximum (three
each) number of assessments completed by the FDA.
The
products with the most commonly filed DMFs were Brivaracetam, Cetrorelix, Edaravone and Lifitegrast, with four
submissions each.
DMF filings also help provide insights into some of the new
drug approvals that can be expected in the future. In the first half of the
year, we witnessed submissions for Dapoxetine Hydrochloride (MSN), Fasoracetam (MSN), Indoximod (MSN), Resiniferatoxin (Indena), Omidenepag Isopropyl (UBE Industries), Treosulphan (Fermion), Roxadustat (Dr Reddy’s), Bexagliflozin (Piramal), Antazoline Phosphate (Metrochem)
and Dyphylline (Shanghai Wonder) which are all products that
have currently not been approved by the FDA and could potentially be approved
in the future.View FDA DMF Filings by June 2020 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
Our view
The Covid
crisis and the surging demand for APIs like hydroxychloroquine, favipiravir and dexamethasone has revealed the global
dependence on India and China for APIs.
India, a
prominent API manufacturer, admitted to its extreme dependence on China
for APIs and intermediates when it shared a list of products which
included antibiotics, vitamins, hormones and even commonly used medicines
like aspirin and paracetamol.
In July this year, India announced the guidelines for its schemes for the development of bulk drugs and medical device parks across the country. These schemes are part of India’s self-reliance campaign. Similar reshoring initiatives have been announced by the United States, France
and Japan, and many other countries
also want to reduce their reliance on China.
While shifting supply chains is certainly a long drawn out process, the wheels have definitely started to turn. It remains to be seen what impact these initiatives will have on the DMF filings with the FDA in the next few quarters.
View FDA DMF Filings by June 2020 (Power BI Dashboard, Free Excel Available)
Impressions: 58677
https://www.pharmacompass.com/radio-compass-blog/dmf-submissions-in-2020-industry-sustains-its-filing-momentum
#PharmaFlow by PHARMACOMPASS
03 Sep 2020
Acquisitions and spin-offs dominated headlines in 2019 and the tone was set very early with Bristol-Myers Squibb acquiring
New Jersey-based cancer drug company Celgene in a US$ 74 billion deal announced on
January 3, 2019. After factoring
in debt, the deal value ballooned to about US$ 95 billion, which according
to data compiled by Refinitiv, made it the largest healthcare deal on
record.
In the summer, AbbVie Inc,
which sells the world’s best-selling drug Humira, announced its acquisition of Allergan Plc, known for Botox and other cosmetic
treatments, for US$ 63 billion. While the companies are still awaiting
regulatory approval for their deal, with US$ 49 billion in combined 2019
revenues, the merged entity would rank amongst the biggest in the industry.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
The big five by pharmaceutical sales — Pfizer,
Roche, J&J, Novartis and Merck
Pfizer
continued
to lead companies by pharmaceutical sales by reporting annual 2019 revenues of
US$ 51.8 billion, a decrease of US$ 1.9 billion, or 4 percent, compared to
2018. The decline was primarily attributed to the loss of exclusivity of Lyrica in 2019,
which witnessed its sales drop from US$ 5 billion in 2018 to US$ 3.3 billion in
2019.
In 2018, Pfizer’s then incoming CEO Albert Bourla had mentioned that the company did not see the need for any large-scale M&A activity as Pfizer had “the best pipeline” in its history, which needed the company to focus on deploying its capital to keep its pipeline flowing and execute on its drug launches.
Bourla stayed true to his word and barring the acquisition of Array Biopharma for US$ 11.4 billion and a spin-off to merge Upjohn, Pfizer’s off-patent branded and generic established medicines business with
Mylan, there weren’t any other big ticket deals which were announced.
The
Upjohn-Mylan merged entity will be called Viatris and is expected to have 2020
revenues between US$ 19 and US$ 20 billion
and could outpace Teva to
become the largest generic company in the world, in term of revenues.
Novartis, which had
followed Pfizer with the second largest revenues in the pharmaceutical industry
in 2018, reported its first full year earnings after spinning off its Alcon eye
care devices business division that
had US$ 7.15 billion in 2018 sales.
In 2019,
Novartis slipped two spots in the ranking after reporting total sales of US$
47.4 billion and its CEO Vas Narasimhan continued his deal-making spree by buying New
Jersey-headquartered The Medicines Company (MedCo) for US$ 9.7
billion to acquire a late-stage cholesterol-lowering
therapy named inclisiran.
As Takeda Pharmaceutical Co was
busy in 2019 on working to reduce its debt burden incurred due to its US$ 62
billion purchase of Shire Plc, which was announced in 2018, Novartis also purchased
the eye-disease medicine, Xiidra, from the Japanese drugmaker for US$ 5.3 billion.
Novartis’ management also spent a considerable part of 2019 dealing with data-integrity concerns which emerged from its 2018 buyout of AveXis, the
gene-therapy maker Novartis had acquired for US$ 8.7 billion.
The deal gave Novartis rights to Zolgensma,
a novel treatment intended for children less than two years of age with the
most severe form of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). Priced at US$ 2.1 million,
Zolgensma is currently the world’s most expensive drug.
However,
in a shocking announcement, a month after approving the drug, the US Food and
Drug Administration (FDA) issued a press release on
data accuracy issues as the agency was informed by AveXis that
its personnel had manipulated data which
the FDA used to evaluate product comparability and nonclinical (animal)
pharmacology as part of the biologics license application (BLA), which was
submitted and reviewed by the FDA.
With US$
50.0 billion (CHF 48.5 billion) in annual pharmaceutical sales, Swiss drugmaker
Roche came in at number two position in 2019
as its sales grew 11 percent driven by
its multiple sclerosis medicine Ocrevus, haemophilia drug Hemlibra and cancer medicines Tecentriq and Perjeta.
Roche’s newly introduced medicines generated US$ 5.53 billion (CHF 5.4 billion) in growth, helping offset the impact of the competition from biosimilars for its three best-selling drugs MabThera/Rituxan, Herceptin and Avastin.
In late 2019, after months of increased
antitrust scrutiny, Roche completed
its US$ 5.1 billion acquisition of Spark Therapeutics to strengthen its presence in
gene therapy.
Last year, J&J reported almost flat worldwide sales of US$ 82.1 billion. J&J’s pharmaceutical division generated US$ 42.20 billion and its medical devices and consumer health divisions brought in US$ 25.96 billion and US$ 13.89 billion respectively.
Since J&J’s consumer health division sells analgesics, digestive health along with beauty and oral care products, the US$ 5.43 billion in consumer health sales from over-the-counter drugs and women’s health products was only used in our assessment of J&J’s total pharmaceutical revenues. With combined pharmaceutical sales of US$ 47.63 billion, J&J made it to number three on our list.
While the sales of products like Stelara, Darzalex, Imbruvica, Invega Sustenna drove J&J’s pharmaceutical business to grow by 4 percent over 2018, the firm had to contend with generic competition against key revenue contributors Remicade and Zytiga.
US-headquartered Merck, which is known as
MSD (short for Merck Sharp & Dohme) outside the United States and
Canada, is set to significantly move up the rankings next year fueled by its
cancer drug Keytruda, which witnessed a 55
percent increase in sales to US$ 11.1 billion.
Merck reported total revenues of US$ 41.75 billion and also
announced it will spin off its women’s health drugs,
biosimilar drugs and older products to create a new pharmaceutical
company with US$ 6.5 billion in annual revenues.
The firm had anticipated 2020 sales between US$ 48.8 billion and US$ 50.3 billion however this week it announced that the coronavirus pandemic will reduce 2020 sales by more than $2 billion.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Humira holds on to remain world’s best-selling drug
AbbVie’s acquisition of Allergan comes as the firm faces the expiration of patent protection for Humira, which brought in a staggering US$ 19.2 billion in sales last year for
the company. AbbVie has failed to successfully acquire or develop a major new
product to replace the sales generated by its flagship drug.
In 2019, Humira’s US revenues increased 8.6 percent to US$ 14.86 billion while internationally, due
to biosimilar competition, the sales dropped 31.1 percent to US$ 4.30 billion.
Bristol Myers Squibb’s Eliquis, which is also marketed by Pfizer, maintained its number two position
and posted total sales of US$ 12.1 billion, a 23 percent increase over 2018.
While Bristol Myers Squibb’s immunotherapy treatment Opdivo, sold in partnership with Ono in Japan, saw sales increase from US$ 7.57 billion to US$ 8.0 billion, the growth paled in comparison to the US$ 3.9
billion revenue increase of Opdivo’s key immunotherapy competitor Merck’s Keytruda.
Keytruda took the number three spot in drug sales that
previously belonged to Celgene’s Revlimid, which witnessed a sales decline from US$ 9.69 billion to US$ 9.4 billion.
Cancer treatment Imbruvica, which is marketed
by J&J and AbbVie, witnessed a 30 percent increase in sales. With US$ 8.1
billion in 2019 revenues, it took the number five position.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Vaccines – Covid-19 turns competitors into partners
This year has been dominated by the single biggest health emergency in years — the novel coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic. As drugs continue to fail to meet expectations, vaccine development has received a lot of attention.
GSK reported the highest vaccine sales of all drugmakers with
total sales of US$ 8.4 billion (GBP 7.16 billion), a significant portion of its
total sales of US$ 41.8 billion (GBP 33.754 billion).
US-based Merck’s vaccine division also reported a significant increase in sales to US$ 8.0 billion and in 2019 received FDA and EU approval to market its Ebola vaccine Ervebo.
This is the first FDA-authorized vaccine against the deadly virus which causes
hemorrhagic fever and spreads from person to person through direct contact with
body fluids.
Pfizer and Sanofi also reported an increase in their vaccine sales to US$ 6.4
billion and US$ 6.2 billion respectively and the Covid-19 pandemic has recently
pushed drugmakers to move faster than ever before and has also converted
competitors into partners.
In a rare move, drug behemoths — Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) —joined hands to develop a vaccine for the novel coronavirus.
The two companies plan to start human trials
in the second half of this year, and if things go right, they will file
for potential approvals by the second half of 2021.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Our view
Covid-19 has brought the world economy to a grinding halt and shifted the global attention to the pharmaceutical industry’s capability to deliver solutions to address this pandemic.
Our compilation shows that vaccines and drugs
for infectious diseases currently form a tiny fraction of the total sales of
pharmaceutical companies and few drugs against infectious diseases rank high on
the sales list.
This could well explain the limited range of
options currently available to fight Covid-19. With the pandemic currently infecting
over 3 million people spread across more than 200 countries, we can safely
conclude that the scenario in 2020 will change substantially. And so should our
compilation of top drugs for the year.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Impressions: 54763
https://www.pharmacompass.com/radio-compass-blog/top-drugs-and-pharmaceutical-companies-of-2019-by-revenues
#PharmaFlow by PHARMACOMPASS
29 Apr 2020
The year 2018 was a landmark year for the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) as the agency approved a record number of novel drugs. FDA approved 62 novel drugs in 2018, out of which 34 were orphan drugs. FDA’s Center for Drug Evaluation & Research (CDER) approved 59 drugs while the other three were approved by the Center for Biologics
Evaluation and Research (CBER).
In a speech towards the end of the year, FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb said: “Far more important than the overall quantity of approvals however is the quality of the new drugs”. He went on to add that some “of [the] previous records were set in years when there were a lot of drugs that critics bemoaned were me-too medicines,” or novel chemical entities that addressed the same common, therapeutic targets.
In 2018, FDA reversed three earlier drug
rejections, approved the first cannabis-based drug, allowed the first ever RNA interference drug to market
and gave the green light to Loxo Oncology/Bayer’s Vitrakvi (larotrectinib)
which became the second anti-cancer drug (after Merck’s Keytruda)
to bag an approval that treats cancer based on a biomarker across different
types of tumors rather than the location in the body where the tumor
originated.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
Gilead’s Biktarvy tops our list for sales potential
PharmaCompass
compiled the peak sales estimates of the new drugs approved in 2018 and in our
compilation, Gilead’s antiretroviral treatment for HIV — Biktarvy — topped the charts with an estimated sales potential of almost US$ 5.3 billion followed by Vertex’s cystic fibrosis drug Symdeko
that is expected to bring in US$ 2.75 billion.
Alexion’s Ultomiris,
Abbvie’s Orilissa,
Novartis’ Lutathera
and J&J’s Erleada
are all expected to bring in more than US$ 2 billion for their companies at
their peaks.
Although Loxo’s cancer drug, with an estimated US$ 860 million in peak sales, did not make it to the list of top 15 drugs in
2018 by sales potential, the company got purchased
by Eli Lilly earlier this month for US$ 8 billion.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
Pfizer won four approvals, Shire won three
For 2018, Pfizer
led the approvals with four drugs that got the green light, followed by Shire with
three drugs. Companies like AstraZeneca,
Array Biopharma, Alynlam and Paratek Pharmaceuticals each won two drug approvals. Merck
also had two approvals which were in cooperation with other companies.
Amgen, Teva
and Eli Lilly got their CGRP inhibitors for migraine prevention approved within
a few months of each other.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
First cannabis-based drug bagged approval
Last year, FDA also approved
Epidiolex (cannabidiol or CBD) oral solution for the
treatment of seizures associated with two rare and severe forms of epilepsy — Lennox-Gastaut syndrome and Dravet syndrome.
CBD is a chemical component of the Cannabis sativa plant, more commonly
known as marijuana. And Epidiolex is the first marijuana-based drug to be
approved in the US for epilepsy. It is produced by GW Pharmaceuticals.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
CBD does not cause intoxication. It is one of
the hundreds of molecules found in marijuana and has been cited by scientists
as a potential treatment for mental health issues.
2018 saw the launch of one-dose flu cure from
Shionogi
In March 2018, Shionogi & Co Ltd.’s Xofluza — a pathbreaking drug that cures flu with just one dose — was approved in Japan. The drug is a treatment for influenza A and influenza B.
In October, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) also approved Xofluza (baloxavir marboxil).
Xofluza is the first new antiviral flu treatment with a novel mechanism of
action approved by the FDA in nearly 20 years.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
The single dose feature gives Xofluza an edge
over other neuraminidase inhibitors like Tamiflu and Relenza. For example, Tamiflu typically requires two
doses each day for five days. Therefore, there are nine more doses of Tamiflu
required, as compared to the single-dose Xofluza.
Shionogi aims to double the global market for flu treatment
with Xofluza.
“While the global market of flu drug is said to be about US$ 1 billion to US$ 1.5 billion, we want to expand it to around US$ 3 billion,” Shionogi CEO Isao Teshirogi said last year.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
Though the FDA approval for Xofluza has
been granted to Shionogi, Genentech (a member of the Roche Group
which marketed Tamiflu, which is now a generic) will be marketing the
medication in the US.
Industry
gets far lower returns from its drug launches
Gottlieb used Twitter to promote the progress of FDA’s review cycle. “In 2018, CDER met its PDUFA goal for 100 percent of the novel drugs approved – 95 percent of which on the first cycle – reflecting our efficiency in getting new therapies to patients quickly,” he tweeted.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
A ‘cycle’ is the time from when CDER accepts an application for a new drug until the agency decides whether to approve it or not.
However, the record number of approvals doesn’t present the complete picture for the pharmaceutical industry. A study published in December by Deloitte
highlighted that the industry is getting far lower average returns from its
drug launches than ever before. While the costs to bring a drug to market
have almost doubled in eight years to over US$ 2 billion, peak sales
forecasts have halved to a little over US$ 400 million, the study said.
Drug discovery reviews in the scientific publication Nature reached a similar conclusion. “Projected peak annual sales for new therapeutic drugs (NTDs) approved in 2018 total US$ 45 billion — lower than 2017’s US$ 58 billion — and the value of the average peak sales per product has continued to trend down to only US$ 720 million per drug in 2018, the lowest figure in almost a decade,” the publication said.
“The decline is driven both by fewer blockbusters at the top end, as well as a proliferation of very small products at the bottom end. We believe the underlying driver of both these trends — more approvals but smaller markets per approval — is better understanding of biology fostering precision medicine,” it added.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
Our view
After suffering brutal losses towards the end of 2018, wherein biotech was among the US stock market’s most oversold sectors and saw a decline of nearly 10 percent, this year the biotech sector has got off to the best start since 2012.
Drug companies are continuing to innovate more
targeted therapies, and Chinese companies are investing in developing new
drugs.
While the industry expects to see a lot more
mergers and acquisitions in 2019, where smaller biotech companies get acquired
by major pharmaceutical corporations, it is unlikely that the general trend of
companies bagging more approvals for targeted therapies with a smaller peak sales
potential is going to reverse anytime soon.
Click Here to View the Sales Forecast of FDA's Novel Drug Approvals in 2018
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https://www.pharmacompass.com/radio-compass-blog/sales-forecast-of-fda-s-novel-drugs-approvals-in-2018
#PharmaFlow by PHARMACOMPASS
17 Jan 2019
