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Top Pharma Companies & Drugs in 2022: Pfizer breaks US$ 100 bn barrier, AbbVie’s Humira retains 2nd spot

In 2022, the pandemic continued to bring in a windfall for pharmaceutical companies manufacturing Covid-19 products, with Pfizer’s total annual sales reaching a record high by surpassing US$ 100 billion for the first time.AbbVie, despite not having any Covid products in its portfolio, maintained its second position due to the sales of its blockbuster drug Humira and other medicines. Johnson & Johnson held onto the third spot, while Merck experienced the most significant change, climbing to the fourth position from seventh place in the previous year. AstraZeneca also moved up a spot to the eighth position. On the other hand, Novartis (fifth), Roche (sixth), BMS (seventh) and Sanofi (ninth) slipped in the rankings, while GSK (tenth) retained its position. There were no new entries in the top 10 in terms of pharmaceutical sales.View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2022 (Free Excel Available)Pfizer retains top position as Comirnaty, Paxlovid, together generate over US$ 56 billion In 2022, Pfizer’s Covid-19 products — vaccine Comirnaty and antiviral pill Paxlovid — generated combined sales of US$ 56.7 billion. With a haul of US$ 37.8 billion, Comirnaty comfortably maintained its position as the top-selling drug for a second year in a row. Paxlovid brought in US$ 18.9 billion in its first full year on the market, grabbing the number four spot.Moderna’s messenger RNA Covid vaccine Spikevax generated US$ 18.4 billion in revenues, emerging as the fifth largest drug by sales in 2022.View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2022 (Free Excel Available) AbbVie’s Humira, J&J’s Stelara post impressive growth; BMS face revenue declineAbbVie’s cash cow Humira, the bestselling non-Covid product in biopharma history, achieved sales of US$ 21.24 billion (partner Eisai reported another US$ 370 million) in 2022. While Humira brought in approximately 37 percent of the company’s total net revenues of US$ 58 billion in 2022, strong revenues from blood cancer drug Imbruvica, psoriasis treatment Skyrizi and rheumatoid arthritis med Rinvoq also contributed to AbbVie’s strong performance.J&J generated US$ 52.56 billion in 2022 revenues. Its pharmaceutical segment experienced an operational growth of 6.7 percent, driven by impressive performance of key drugs such as Stelara for inflammatory diseases and Darzalex for multiple myeloma. Stelara, which generated US$ 10.2 billion in overall sales last year (a growth of 6.9 percent), is expected to face generic competition in the US as its exclusivity is ending in 2023.BMS’ sales remained relatively unchanged even though its blockbuster multiple myeloma drug, Revlimid, experienced a 22 percent revenue decline due to generic competition. While Revlimid still generated sales of US$ 9.98 billion (partner BeiGene reported another US$ 80 million) in 2022, two other drugs, anticoagulant Eliquis and cancer drug Opdivo performed well. Eliquis generated US$ 11.8 billion in sales (partner Pfizer reported another US$ 6.5 billion), a 9.2 percent increase over 2021, while Opdivo achieved US$ 8.25 billion in sales (partner Ono Pharmaceuticals reported another US$ 1.05 billion). The drugmaker also introduced new products like Opdualag, Abecma and Reblozyl, which bolstered its overall sales.View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2022 (Free Excel Available)Merck expands use of blockbuster Keytruda; oncology drugs boost Astra’s revenueMerck’s blockbuster cancer drug Keytruda had a remarkable year, achieving a significant year-on-year growth of 22 percent and generating US$ 20.9 billion in 2022 sales. This success propelled Keytruda to the third position among the top-selling drugs. Keytruda’s continuous expansion into new indications and treatment lines has solidified its position as a leading PD1 inhibitor, and is expected to maintain its momentum in 2023. Additionally, Merck’s Covid-19 pill Lagevrio recorded impressive sales of US$ 5.7 billion in 2022. Overall, at US$ 52 billion, the drugmaker posted spectacular growth in sales of 22 percent.AstraZeneca also experienced an impressive growth of 18 percent in 2022 to reach US$ 43 billion in revenue. The growth was primarily driven by the success of its cancer treatments, with blockbuster drugs like Tagrisso, Farxiga, Imfinzi, Lynparza playing a vital role. These drugs accounted for 35 percent of AstraZeneca’s overall revenue.View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2022 (Free Excel Available)Newer meds bolster Roche’s growth; Sanofi thrives with DupixentIn 2022, Roche experienced a sales growth of 2 percent at Constant Exchange Rate (CER) to reach CHF 45.55 billion (US$ 49.8 billion). The company’s strong pharmaceutical sales were fueled by increasing demand for newer medicines, including Ocrevus (for multiple sclerosis), Hemlibra (for hemophilia A), Vabysmo (for eye conditions), Evrysdi (for spinal muscular atrophy) and cancer drug Tecentriq. In 2022, Sanofi recorded global sales of €43 billion (US$ 47.1 billion), representing a 7 percent growth at CER. The French drugmaker’s strong performance was driven by major drugs, particularly Dupixent and its vaccine franchise. Dupixent brought in impressive sales of €8.3 billion (US$ 9.1 billion), marking a significant 57 percent increase over the previous year. Originally approved by the FDA in 2017 for atopic dermatitis, Dupixent has expanded its applications to include moderate to severe asthma and eosinophilic esophagitis, contributing to its continued growth. Sanofi expects Dupixent to reach €10 billion (US$ 10.7 billion) in sales in the current year.In July 2022, GlaxoSmithKline changed its name to GSK and demerged its consumer healthcare business to form Haleon, thereby becoming a fully focused biopharmaceutical company. The British drugmaker reported a modest 8 percent growth in revenue — at £29.32 billion (US$ 36.15 billion).View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2022 (Free Excel Available)Our viewAs the pandemic wanes, 2023 could be a year of transition for many drugmakers. Companies such as Pfizer, Moderna and AbbVie are implementing significant changes to their business strategies. Pfizer foresees a substantial decline in revenue, projecting a sharp drop of 33 percent with the reduced demand for its Covid-19 products. AbbVie, on the other hand, anticipates a decline in sales of its cash cow Humira due to increasing competition from biosimilars. These drugmakers are turning to innovative therapies, new indications, cost-cutting measures, acquisitions and partnerships to restrict the anticipated drop in revenues and ensure sustained growth.Barring these drugmakers, several other big players shared positive growth in the first quarter of 2023. While analysts predict Keytruda and Dupixent to continue their strong growth, there is optimism surrounding diabetes and obesity drugs, with Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy experiencing unprecedented demand. Eli Lilly is also anticipating the US approval of Mounjaro for obesity later this year. All in all, we anticipate more changes in our list of top companies and drugs for 2023!

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01 Jun 2023

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Top Pharma Companies & Drugs in 2021: Covid vaccines, pills cause churn in list

Every year, the list of top pharmaceutical products and companies by sales sees some churn. But the year 2021 was a lot different — it saw the pharma industry landscape change dramatically. It was a year when the industry was busy developing vaccines and therapies so that the world could recover from the Covid-19 pandemic. And this resulted in many drugmakers raking in billions of dollars in sales. As a result, the top company of 2020 in terms of pharmaceutical sales — Roche — slipped to the number five spot, while Pfizer, which was at number eight in 2020 after spinning off its generic business, moved up to the number one slot. The year proved to be a good one for pharmaceutical companies. Interestingly, last year none of the top 20 pharmaceutical companies saw a decline in their revenue. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available) Pfizer’s Comirnaty steals the show The company that reaped the maximum gains from its Covid vaccine was Pfizer. Comirnaty (tozinameran) was the top selling pharmaceutical product of 2021, posting global revenues of US$ 36.8 billion. This messenger-RNA Covid-19 vaccine, developed along with its German partner BioNTech, catapulted Pfizer to the slot of the top company by sales in 2021. Pfizer’s global topline grew from US$ 41.7 billion in 2020 to US$ 81.3 billion in 2021. In 2020, Pfizer was at number eight, behind Roche, Novartis, GSK, AbbVie, J&J, Merck and BMS. In 2021, it took a lead of billions of dollars on all these companies. The second largest drug company by sales — AbbVie — was way down at US$ 56.1 billion in global revenues. In fact, Comirnaty has become the fastest-selling drug in the history of the pharmaceutical industry. Back in December 2020, when both Comirnaty and Moderna’s Spikevax had bagged the US Food and Drug Administration’s emergency use authorization (EUA), there was a lot of uncertainty around how the promised doses would be delivered across the world. But both Comirnaty and Spikevax have proven to be a resounding success. Spikevax emerged as the third largest selling pharmaceutical product of 2021, bringing in US$ 17.7 billion for Moderna. Analysts expect both Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna to sell even more vaccines in 2022. The reasons are manifold. First, SARS-CoV-2 is able to mutate often, and is unlikely to be eradicated in the near future, creating a need for booster shots. Second, the younger age groups are still to get vaccinated. Along with Comirnaty, Pfizer is battling Covid-19 with its antiviral pill, Paxlovid. Though the sales of Paxlovid have nosedived of late, Pfizer expects Comirnaty and Paxlovid to help the New York-headquartered drug behemoth achieve US$ 100 billion in 2022 revenues. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available) AbbVie moves up, sans Covid product; Roche slips to number five With no Covid-19 related products, AbbVie did fairly well in 2021 — it moved up from the number four spot in 2020 to number two position, thanks to its Allergan acquisition, cash cow Humira (adalimumab), the continued success of its cancer drug Imbruvica (ibrutinib) and an increase in sale of its psoriasis treatment Skyrizi (risankizumab) by a whopping 85 percent in 2021. Humira brought in sales of US$ 21.2 billion for AbbVie in 2021. However, things may change soon, with biosimilars of Humira slated to enter the market in 2023. The years 2022 and 2023 are likely to be transition years for AbbVie, as it works to build the market for its Humira successors — Rinvoq and Skyrizi. Roche emerged as a big loser in 2021, as several copycats of its blockbuster drugs hit the market. Copycats to Roche’s three blockbuster cancer drugs—Avastin, Herceptin and Rituxan—eroded US$ 4.9 billion (CHF 4.73 billion) from the company’s sales in 2021. A large chunk of growth for Roche came from its multiple sclerosis med Ocrevus, hemophilia drug Hemlibra, inflammatory disease therapy Actemra and PD-L1 inhibitor Tecentriq. The pandemic resulted in lower-than-expected sales of Ocrevus (ocrelizumab) due to fears around its immunosuppressive effects. Like Roche, Novartis also slipped last year. It fell from number two in 2020 to the number four slot in 2021. Essentially, Novartis is struggling with a relatively lackluster pipeline. It had sold its 33 percent stake in Roche last year for US$ 20.7 billion. It plans to use that sum for acquisitions in order to beef up its pipeline. The Swiss drugmaker has also drawn up a restructuring plan that includes layoffs of thousands of employees. Before the pandemic, Merck’s Keytruda was touted as the drug that would overtake Humira at the top in 2024. The checkpoint inhibitor has continued to grow impressively, adding new indications and treatment lines. Keytruda is now used in close to 40 indications. With US$ 17.2 billion in sales, Keytruda emerged as the fourth largest selling drug of 2022. Overall though, Merck slipped from number six to the number eight slot. This was due to the fact that Merck had spun out its women’s health, biosimilars and established brands businesses into Organon. However, its Covid-19 antiviral pill — Molnupiravir — was able to compensate for the lost revenue. Though the FDA is yet to grant the drug a full approval (it bagged an EUA in December 2021), advance sales agreements helped it rack up US$ 952 million in sales in the fourth quarter. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available) BMS moves up with Eliquis, Revlimid; J&J lands at number three Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS) moved up from number seven in 2020 to number six, thanks to two of its drugs that made it to top 10 — anticoagulant Eliquis at number five and oncology drug Revlimid at number six. However, Revlimid will soon face competition — four generic companies now have the approval to sell their versions of Revlimid (lenalidomide) after March 2022. Revlimid sales are expected to drop from US$ 12.9 billion to just US$ 2.06 billion in 2026. BMS posted US$ 46.4 billion in global revenues, a nine percent increase from US$ 42.5 billion reported in 2020. In immuno-oncology, Opdivo brought in US$ 7.52 billion in sales, while Yervoy drew in sales of US$ 2 billion (an increase of 20 percent). J&J’s pharma division brought in US$ 52.1 billion in revenues last year, an increase of 14 percent over its revenues of US$ 45.6 billion posted in 2020. Drugs like Darzalex (for multiple myeloma), Stelara and its Covid-19 vaccine brought in growth during 2021, helping J&J move up from number five to the number three slot. J&J’s Covid-19 vaccine brought in US$ 2.4 billion in sales. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available) GSK bags approval for shingles vaccine; Takeda suffers setbacks GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) slipped four places — from number three in 2020 to number seven in 2021. Though GSK did not have a drug in the top 10, sales of GSK and Vir Biotechnology’s Covid-19 antibody treatment sotrovimab helped produce a seven percent increase in its 2021 revenue. The British drugmaker also bagged a critical FDA approval — its vaccine to prevent shingles (herpes zoster), Shingrix, bagged the agency’s nod in July. GSK hopes to double the sales of Shingrix by 2026. GSK is also undergoing a major transformation, and plans to demerge its consumer health unit this year. The unit generated revenues of £9.6 billion (US$ 13 billion) last year, and GSK sees the demerger as a necessary step to fuel growth through the development of new vaccines and specialty medicines. Sanofi managed to retain its ninth slot, even as its global turnover increased from US$ 39.3 billion (Euro 36.04 billion) to US$ 41.6 billion (Euro 37.76 billion). It snapped up Kymab, Tidal Therapeutics, Translate Bio, Kadmon Holdings, Origimm Biotechnology and Amunix in deals that bolstered its presence in immunology, immuno-oncology and vaccines. Dealmaking is on the French drugmaker’s menu for 2022 and beyond, Sanofi’s CFO said at this year’s virtual JP Morgan Healthcare Conference. AstraZeneca’s global revenues grew from US$ 26.6 billion in 2020 to US$ 37.4 billion in 2021. However, its rank fell from nine in 2020 to 10 in 2021. AstraZeneca wrapped up the US$ 39 billion acquisition of Alexion in July 2021. Alexion’s rare disease franchise—led by C5 inhibitors Soliris and Ultomiris—added an extra US$ 3.1 billion to Astra’s top line last year. Takeda suffered several clinical and regulatory setbacks in 2021, which it labeled as an “inflection year.” For Gilead, sales of its Covid-19 antiviral Veklury brought in US$ 5.6 billion last year, helping its revenues grow by 11 percent. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top Drugs by Sales in 2021 (Free Excel Available) Our view If anything, the pandemic has taught us that change is the only constant. It has also taught us that products can become blockbusters in a matter of a few months. The industry landscape continues to change. On the one hand, we are seeing people scrambling to get Covid vaccines and booster shots, on the other hand, the FDA has limited the use of monoclonal antibodies, such as Eli Lilly’s bamlanivimab and etesevimab and Regeneron’s REGEN-COV (casirivimab and imdevimab), in treating Covid caused by the Omicron variant. The FDA has also pulled the authorization granted to GSK and Vir Biotechnology’s antibody therapy this month, citing data that suggested it was unlikely to be effective against the dominant Omicron sub-variant. And last week, there was news that demand for Pfizer’s antiviral pill Paxlovid has remained unexpectedly low. The supply of Paxlovid, which reduced hospitalizations or deaths in high-risk patients by around 90 percent in a clinical trial, has far outstripped demand in many countries like the US, the UK and South Korea. Though Pfizer is hopeful of crossing US$ 100 billion in revenue this year, much depends on how the pandemic pans out and what new research has to say about the novel coronavirus. A lot will change once the pandemic becomes endemic. The first four months of 2022 tell us that vaccines like Comirnaty and Spikevax will continue to perform well. But two years down the line, our charts could look very different.

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28 Apr 2022

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America’s drug price hike conundrum in backdrop of 2019 Medicare Part D data

Nearly every year, drugmakers ring in the new year with drug price increases in the US. This year too, prices of over 450 prescription medicines increased by an average of around 5 percent at the start of January. This, when high drug prices have been one of the biggest political issues in the US over the last few years. PharmaCompass decided to usher in 2022 with a review of the US Medicare Part D Prescription Drug data recently released by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) for calendar year 2019. Using the available data, we have developed our own dashboard to show recent trends in consumption of prescription drugs. With this analysis, we hope our readers will get a better understanding of the world’s largest market for pharmaceuticals, as also a fix on where it may be headed. View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available) Rising healthcare, drug spends in US Over the last several years, we have repeatedly heard political leaders in the US complain about high drug prices. Yet, drug prices and healthcare spends have risen unabated. America’s National Health Expenditure Accounts (NHEA) includes annual expenditures on healthcare goods and services, public health activities, the net cost of health insurance, and investment related to healthcare. In 2019, America’s national health expenditure (NHE) grew by 4.6 percent to US$ 3.8 trillion, accounting for 17.7 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP). During the year, prescription drug spend increased by 5.7 percent to US$ 369.7 billion. In comparison, Medicare spend grew 6.7 percent to US$ 799.4 billion. President Joe Biden recently stressed on the need to cap the prices of essential drugs, and said that the average American pays the highest prices for prescription drugs anywhere in the world. Americans pay 10 times as much as other countries for life-saving insulin — the top selling prescription drug covered by the Part D program. Pharma companies, on the other hand, have vehemently argued against any price cuts in the US, saying price cuts would hinder drug research and development for all diseases. View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available) Patented drugs account for 80.3 percent of total Part D spend Medicare is the US federal government’s program that provides health insurance to most people who are 65 years or older. Medicare’s Part D plan provides outpatient drug coverage through private insurance companies that have contracts with the federal government. Eligible people have to choose and enroll in a private prescription drug plan for Part D coverage. Medicare Part B, on the other hand, covers a wide variety of medically necessary outpatient services and some preventative services. Prescription drug coverage under Part D reached US$ 183 billion in 2019 — a growth of around 9 percent over 2018, when spending was US$ 168 billion. Spending on patented drugs in 2019 accounted for around US$ 147 billion or 80.3 percent of the total spend for the year. Generic drugs made up for the remaining 19.7 percent (approximately US$ 36 billion). In 2018, generic drugs worth US$ 35.8 billion were sold under Part D, accounting for 21 percent of the total spend under the program. View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available) Eliquis ranks highest on Medicare’s brand drug spend Under Part D, endocrinology and oncology were the two therapeutic areas that generated maximum revenue for pharma companies, driving home sales of over US$ 31.8 billion and US$ 23.5 billion, respectively. Neurology drugs generated sales of around US$ 22.9 billion. Among branded drugs, Bristol Myers Squibb’s anticoagulant Eliquis (apixaban) was the most selling drug in 2019 under Part D, notching up about US$ 7.3 billion in sales — a rise of US$ 2.3 billion or 46 percent over 2018. Celgene’s cancer drug Revlimid (lenalidomide) roped in US$ 4.7 billion (up by 14.6 percent), while another anticoagulant drug Xarelto (rivaroxaban) by Janssen Pharma — a unit of Johnson & Johnson — fetched US$ 4.1 billion (up 20.6 percent) in sales through Part D. AbbVie’s anti-rheumatic drug Humira and Sanofi’s diabetes drug Lantus saw sales of around US$ 3.7 billion each under the program. Amongst generics, the largest selling drug under Part D (by dosage units) was metformin (diabetes), followed by gabapentin (seizure), PEG3350 with electrolyte (gastroenterology), metoprolol (hypertension) and atorvastatin (cholesterol). In 2019, the overall dosage units sold also jumped higher by 2.25 billion units to 111.35 billion. The sales ranking of Part D does bare some similarities with the global ranking of highest selling drugs. In 2020, Humira had retained its position as the highest selling drug in the world, generating sales of US$ 20.4 billion. Both Eliquis and Revlimid had retained their ranking as the third and fourth most selling drugs, bringing home US$ 14.1 billion and US$ 12.1 billion in global sales in 2020. View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available) Medicare’s inability to negotiate prices costs American taxpayers billions of dollars Over the years, drug companies have used Medicare’s inability to negotiate prices under Part D to increase the prices of their drugs significantly and rip off huge profits, a three-year-long US House Oversight Committee investigation has revealed. US taxpayers could have saved over US$ 25 billion in five years if the prices of just seven drugs — Humira, Imbruvica, Sensipar, Enbrel, Lantus, NovoLog and Lyrica — were negotiated by Medicare. Another US$ 16.7 billion could have been saved between 2011 and 2017 on insulin products manufactured by Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk and Sanofi, which control 90 percent of the insulin market in the US, the committee’s report revealed. Elsewhere in the world, the same drugmakers are bending over backwards to get into medical insurance programs. For instance, China reported that several international pharma firms, many of them headquartered in the US, slashed the prices of their drugs by up to 94 percent to get into the country’s national medical insurance coverage. In the US — which accounted for around 46 percent of the global share of drugs in 2020 — senior citizens may have to pay more for medicines as the government announced a large hike in Medicare premiums for 2022 if an expensive Alzheimer’s drug, Aduhelm, is included in the list. In order to ensure inclusion in Medicare, Biogen slashed the price of Aduhelm by half — from US$ 56,000 to US$ 28,200 — just weeks before a crucial meeting called by the CMS. Clearly, this has set a precedent in an industry which is known for rampant price hikes and rarely for any price cuts. This could also be put forth as an example of what Medicare could achieve if it receives negotiation rights. View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available) Our view President Biden's Build Back Better legislation, which the House passed last month, is up for vote in the Senate. The legislation contains provisions that would allow Medicare to negotiate the prices of some expensive drugs, penalize drugmakers who raise prices faster than inflation and cap out-of-pocket costs for insulin at US$ 35 per month. However, chances of the bill being passed in its present form are slim. Even if the Senate passes the bill, Medicare would be able to negotiate the prices of only 10 prescription drugs and insulin products in 2025. The number would increase over the years, reaching 100 in six years, and hence forth grow by 20 drugs a year. It seems like 2022 won’t be the last year when January 1 will be braced with price hikes in the US by drugmakers. Looks like they will continue to make hay while the sun shines. View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available)

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06 Jan 2022

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Top drugs and pharmaceutical companies of 2019 by revenues

Acquisitions and spin-offs dominated headlines in 2019 and the tone was set very early with Bristol-Myers Squibb acquiring New Jersey-based cancer drug company Celgene in a US$ 74 billion deal announced on January 3, 2019. After factoring in debt, the deal value ballooned to about US$ 95 billion, which according to data compiled by Refinitiv, made it the largest healthcare deal on record. In the summer, AbbVie Inc, which sells the world’s best-selling drug Humira, announced its acquisition of Allergan Plc, known for Botox and other cosmetic treatments, for US$ 63 billion. While the companies are still awaiting regulatory approval for their deal, with US$ 49 billion in combined 2019 revenues, the merged entity would rank amongst the biggest in the industry. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available) The big five by pharmaceutical sales — Pfizer, Roche, J&J, Novartis and Merck Pfizer continued to lead companies by pharmaceutical sales by reporting annual 2019 revenues of US$ 51.8 billion, a decrease of US$ 1.9 billion, or 4 percent, compared to 2018. The decline was primarily attributed to the loss of exclusivity of Lyrica in 2019, which witnessed its sales drop from US$ 5 billion in 2018 to US$ 3.3 billion in 2019. In 2018, Pfizer’s then incoming CEO Albert Bourla had mentioned that the company did not see the need for any large-scale M&A activity as Pfizer had “the best pipeline” in its history, which needed the company to focus on deploying its capital to keep its pipeline flowing and execute on its drug launches. Bourla stayed true to his word and barring the acquisition of Array Biopharma for US$ 11.4 billion and a spin-off to merge Upjohn, Pfizer’s off-patent branded and generic established medicines business with Mylan, there weren’t any other big ticket deals which were announced. The Upjohn-Mylan merged entity will be called Viatris and is expected to have 2020 revenues between US$ 19 and US$ 20 billion and could outpace Teva to become the largest generic company in the world, in term of revenues. Novartis, which had followed Pfizer with the second largest revenues in the pharmaceutical industry in 2018, reported its first full year earnings after spinning off its Alcon eye care devices business division that had US$ 7.15 billion in 2018 sales. In 2019, Novartis slipped two spots in the ranking after reporting total sales of US$ 47.4 billion and its CEO Vas Narasimhan continued his deal-making spree by buying New Jersey-headquartered The Medicines Company (MedCo) for US$ 9.7 billion to acquire a late-stage cholesterol-lowering therapy named inclisiran. As Takeda Pharmaceutical Co was busy in 2019 on working to reduce its debt burden incurred due to its US$ 62 billion purchase of Shire Plc, which was announced in 2018, Novartis also purchased the eye-disease medicine, Xiidra, from the Japanese drugmaker for US$ 5.3 billion. Novartis’ management also spent a considerable part of 2019 dealing with data-integrity concerns which emerged from its 2018 buyout of AveXis, the gene-therapy maker Novartis had acquired for US$ 8.7 billion. The deal gave Novartis rights to Zolgensma, a novel treatment intended for children less than two years of age with the most severe form of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). Priced at US$ 2.1 million, Zolgensma is currently the world’s most expensive drug. However, in a shocking announcement, a month after approving the drug, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued a press release on data accuracy issues as the agency was informed by AveXis that its personnel had manipulated data which the FDA used to evaluate product comparability and nonclinical (animal) pharmacology as part of the biologics license application (BLA), which was submitted and reviewed by the FDA. With US$ 50.0 billion (CHF 48.5 billion) in annual pharmaceutical sales, Swiss drugmaker Roche came in at number two position in 2019 as its sales grew 11 percent driven by its multiple sclerosis medicine Ocrevus, haemophilia drug Hemlibra and cancer medicines Tecentriq and Perjeta. Roche’s newly introduced medicines generated US$ 5.53 billion (CHF 5.4 billion) in growth, helping offset the impact of the competition from biosimilars for its three best-selling drugs MabThera/Rituxan, Herceptin and Avastin. In late 2019, after months of increased antitrust scrutiny, Roche completed its US$ 5.1 billion acquisition of Spark Therapeutics to strengthen its presence in gene therapy. Last year, J&J reported almost flat worldwide sales of US$ 82.1 billion. J&J’s pharmaceutical division generated US$ 42.20 billion and its medical devices and consumer health divisions brought in US$ 25.96 billion and US$ 13.89 billion respectively. Since J&J’s consumer health division sells analgesics, digestive health along with beauty and oral care products, the US$ 5.43 billion in consumer health sales from over-the-counter drugs and women’s health products was only used in our assessment of J&J’s total pharmaceutical revenues. With combined pharmaceutical sales of US$ 47.63 billion, J&J made it to number three on our list. While the sales of products like Stelara, Darzalex, Imbruvica, Invega Sustenna drove J&J’s pharmaceutical business to grow by 4 percent over 2018, the firm had to contend with generic competition against key revenue contributors Remicade and Zytiga. US-headquartered Merck, which is known as MSD (short for Merck Sharp & Dohme) outside the United States and Canada, is set to significantly move up the rankings next year fueled by its cancer drug Keytruda, which witnessed a 55 percent increase in sales to US$ 11.1 billion. Merck reported total revenues of US$ 41.75 billion and also announced it will spin off its women’s health drugs, biosimilar drugs and older products to create a new pharmaceutical company with US$ 6.5 billion in annual revenues. The firm had anticipated 2020 sales between US$ 48.8 billion and US$ 50.3 billion however this week it announced that the coronavirus pandemic will reduce 2020 sales by more than $2 billion. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available) Humira holds on to remain world’s best-selling drug AbbVie’s acquisition of Allergan comes as the firm faces the expiration of patent protection for Humira, which brought in a staggering US$ 19.2 billion in sales last year for the company. AbbVie has failed to successfully acquire or develop a major new product to replace the sales generated by its flagship drug. In 2019, Humira’s US revenues increased 8.6 percent to US$ 14.86 billion while internationally, due to biosimilar competition, the sales dropped 31.1 percent to US$ 4.30 billion. Bristol Myers Squibb’s Eliquis, which is also marketed by Pfizer, maintained its number two position and posted total sales of US$ 12.1 billion, a 23 percent increase over 2018. While Bristol Myers Squibb’s immunotherapy treatment Opdivo, sold in partnership with Ono in Japan, saw sales increase from US$ 7.57 billion to US$ 8.0 billion, the growth paled in comparison to the US$ 3.9 billion revenue increase of Opdivo’s key immunotherapy competitor Merck’s Keytruda. Keytruda took the number three spot in drug sales that previously belonged to Celgene’s Revlimid, which witnessed a sales decline from US$ 9.69 billion to US$ 9.4 billion. Cancer treatment Imbruvica, which is marketed by J&J and AbbVie, witnessed a 30 percent increase in sales. With US$ 8.1 billion in 2019 revenues, it took the number five position. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available) Vaccines – Covid-19 turns competitors into partners This year has been dominated by the single biggest health emergency in years — the novel coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic. As drugs continue to fail to meet expectations, vaccine development has received a lot of attention. GSK reported the highest vaccine sales of all drugmakers with total sales of US$ 8.4 billion (GBP 7.16 billion), a significant portion of its total sales of US$ 41.8 billion (GBP 33.754 billion). US-based Merck’s vaccine division also reported a significant increase in sales to US$ 8.0 billion and in 2019 received FDA and EU approval to market its Ebola vaccine Ervebo. This is the first FDA-authorized vaccine against the deadly virus which causes hemorrhagic fever and spreads from person to person through direct contact with body fluids. Pfizer and Sanofi also reported an increase in their vaccine sales to US$ 6.4 billion and US$ 6.2 billion respectively and the Covid-19 pandemic has recently pushed drugmakers to move faster than ever before and has also converted competitors into partners. In a rare move, drug behemoths — Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) —joined hands to develop a vaccine for the novel coronavirus. The two companies plan to start human trials in the second half of this year, and if things go right, they will file for potential approvals by the second half of 2021. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available) Our view Covid-19 has brought the world economy to a grinding halt and shifted the global attention to the pharmaceutical industry’s capability to deliver solutions to address this pandemic. Our compilation shows that vaccines and drugs for infectious diseases currently form a tiny fraction of the total sales of pharmaceutical companies and few drugs against infectious diseases rank high on the sales list. This could well explain the limited range of options currently available to fight Covid-19. With the pandemic currently infecting over 3 million people spread across more than 200 countries, we can safely conclude that the scenario in 2020 will change substantially. And so should our compilation of top drugs for the year. View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)

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29 Apr 2020

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Chemical entities SHINE in the top 10 fastest-growing drugs of 2016

Global pharmaceutical companies are increasingly focusing on the development of new biologics. In fact, in 2016, nine out of the top 15 pharmaceutical drugs by sales were of biologic origin. This makes us wonder what the future holds for manufacturers specializing in drugs that originate from chemical synthesis. This week, PharmaCompass continued its analysis of the top pharma drugs by sales to evaluate the drugs that registered large sales growth in 2016. Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE! Please note that these are not the top-selling drugs, but are the top 10 drugs that registered the maximum growth in global sales over 2015. Interestingly, things didn’t appear that bad for drugs originating from chemical synthesis — while the top two drugs on the list were biologics, the remaining originated from chemical synthesis. Here’s a list of drugs that witnessed the largest sales growth in 2016: 1. Opdivo (nivolumab) – Bristol-Myers Squibb 2016 sales: US$ 3,774 million 2015 sales: US$ 942 million Sales growth: US$ 2,832 million First approved in 2014, Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Opdivo and Merck’s Keytruda — also known as checkpoint inhibitors — continued to stay on track to be among the top 20 best-selling drugs in the world by 2020. They represent the hot new field of immunotherapy and are known to have given 90-year old Jimmy Carter (former President of the United States) hope in his fight against cancer. With a sales growth of US$ 2.832 billion, Opdivo registered the highest sales growth of any single drug in 2016. However, Bristol-Myers Squibb received a nasty surprise last year when Opdivo did not demonstrate the desired slowdown in the progress of advanced lung cancer in a trial, as compared to conventional chemotherapy. While Bristol-Myers’ stock price plunged on this news, Merck announced that not only did Keytruda succeed in a clinical trial as an initial treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer, but patients actually lived longer. Although Keytruda did not make it to our list of top 10 drugs by sales growth in 2016, it did register a sales increase of US$ 836 million, as its sales grew from US$ 566 million to US$ 1,402 million. Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE! 2. Humira (adalimumab) – AbbVie 2016 sales: US$ 16,078 million 2015 sales: US$ 14,012 million Sales growth: US$ 2,066 million Abbvie’s Humira (adalimumab) juggernaut continued as it not only remained the best-selling drug in the world, but also added another US$ 2 billion to its 2015 sales by generating record sales of US $16.078 billion in 2016. Last year, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved Amgen’s Amjevita™ (adalimumab – atto) — a biosimilar of Humira®. Therefore, it remains to be seen if Humira will be able to sustain the momentum. Amjevita was approved for treating adults with a variety of medical conditions ranging from rheumatoid arthritis, plaque psoriasis, to ulcerative colitis. 3. Epclusa (sofosbuvir and velpatasvir) – Gilead 2016 sales: US$ 1,752 million (new launch) Gilead’s third sofosbuvir-based regimen — Epclusa (sofosbuvir and velpatasvir) was approved by the US FDA in June 2016. It is the first and only all-oral, pan-genotypic single tablet regimen for chronic Hepatitis C virus infection. While Epclusa registered an impressive start, Gilead's other two sofosbuvir-based treatments — Sovaldi (sofosbuvir) and Harvoni (sofosbuvir and lepidasvir) — saw their combined sales decline by almost US$ 6 billion. Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE! 4. Imbruvica (ibrutinib) — Johnson & Johnson / AbbVie 2016 sales: US$ 3,083 million 2015 sales: US$ 1,443 million Sales growth: US$ 1,640 million Abbvie’s 2015 US$ 21 billion buy of Pharmacyclics seems to be paying off. The Pharmacyclics buy was a way to get access to Imbruvica (ibrutinib), a cancer drug which is co-marketed with Johnson & Johnson. It generated sales of US$ 3.083 billion in 2016. Imbruvica works by blocking a specific protein called Bruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK). In December 2011, Johnson & Johnson said it would pay Pharmacyclics as much as US$ 975 million to fund getting the drug to market in exchange for half the profits generated globally. 5. Eliquis (apixaban) - Bristol-Myers Squibb / Pfizer 2016 sales: US$ 3,342 million 2015 sales: US$ 1,860 million Sales growth: US$ 1,483 million Although apixaban was the third-to-market novel oral anticoagulant (NOAC), which is co-promoted by Pfizer and Bristol-Myers Squibb as Eliquis, it continues to unseat Johnson & Johnson’s Xarelto (rivaroxaban) as the leader in its class based on total prescriptions. Rivaroxaban's total 2016 sales were US$ 5.392 billion. While Pfizer’s reports its sales as part of Alliance revenues, and exact sales are not known, Bristol-Myers Squibb results alone put Eliquis in the top 10 list. Generics are hot on their tail as, last month, Pfizer and Bristol-Myers’ filed suits against 16 generic makers to uphold their patents for apixaban. 6. Genvoya (elvitegravir, cobicistat, emtricitabine, tenofovir alafenamide) — Gilead 2016 sales: US$ 1,484 million 2015 sales: US$ 45 million Sales growth: US$ 1,439 million Genvoya has been the most successful HIV treatment launch since the introduction of Atripla (the first single-tablet regimen launched a decade ago). Gilead is the dominant HIV player in the US market and has the top three most-prescribed HIV regimens in the US. Genvoya adds Tenofovir Alafenamide (TAF) to already known treatments. TAF based drugs have demonstrated a better safety profile. They would also allow Gilead to maintain its dominance in the HIV market. Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE! 7. Ibrance (palbociclib) — Pfizer 2016 sales: US$ 2,135 million 2015 sales: US$ 723 million Sales growth: US$ 1,412 million Discovered in Pfizer laboratories and approved by the US FDA in February 2015, Ibrance is used in combination with Letrozole as a first-line treatment of postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (ER+/HER2-) metastatic breast cancer. 8. Triumeq (abacavir, dolutegravir, lamivudine) – GlaxoSmithKline 2016 sales:US$ 2,151 million 2015 sales: US$ 905 million Sales growth: US$ 1,246 million GlaxoSmithKline's HIV drugs business — ViiV Healthcare — has been enjoying sales growth with the introduction of Triumeq ® in its portfolio. While GSK is the major shareholder in ViiV Healthcare, Pfizer and Shionogi also have a stake. Triumeq® is the company’s first fixed-dose combination tablet for a once-daily single pill regimen that combines dolutegravir, an integrase inhibitor, with the nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors — abacavir and lamivudine. 9. Revlimid (lenalidomide) – Celgene 2016 sales: US$ 6,974 million 2015 sales: US$ 5,801 million Sales growth: US$ 1,173 million Celgene’s Revlimid (lenalidomide) — a thalidomide-derivative introduced in 2004 as an immunomodulatory agent for the treatment of various cancers such as multiple myeloma — brought in US$ 5.8 billion in 2015, and grew another 20 percent this year, to US $6.974 billion. Revlimid now contributes more than 60 percent to Celgene's total sales of US$ 11.229 billion. 10. Xarelto (rivaroxaban) – Johnson & Johnson (US) and Bayer 2016 sales: US$ 5,392 million 2015 sales: US$ 4,255 million Sales growth: US$ 1,137 million Bayer’s Xarelto, which is promoted by Johnson & Johnson in the United States, provided patients with an alternative to the old-guard therapy — warfarin. While rivaroxaban is competing with other novel oral anticoagulants (NOAC) like Eliquis (apixaban) and Pradaxa (dabigatran), rivaroxaban has the class lead in indications. Xarelto recently posted positive results in a large-scale Phase 3 study —COMPASS, involving 27,402 patients, that assessed the effect of the blood thinner in preventing major adverse cardiac events (MACE). The trial was stopped a year early on the advice of an independent Data Monitoring Committee, after the primary endpoint of prevention of MACE (which includes cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction and stroke) reached its pre-specified criteria for superiority over aspirin. Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE! Our view In QuintilesIMS Institute’s new annual drug spending report, analysts have forecasted that over the coming five years the industry should continue to receive 40 to 45 new drug approvals every year. A quarter of all the drugs in late-stage development are now focused on oncology. The rate of oncology drug development has hit such a rapid pace that new drugs are superseding old ones in a matter of a few years. It’s clear that this compilation will see radical changes next year. However, with eight out of the 10 fastest-selling drugs coming from chemical synthesis, traditional generic manufacturers still have a lot of opportunities to explore. Sign up, stay ahead In order to stay informed, and receive industry updates along with our data compilations, do sign up for the PharmaCompass Newsletter and you will receive updated information as it becomes available along with a lot more industry analysis. Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE!

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17 May 2017

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US DMF filings indicate a robust API industry, with multiple first-to-file challenges

This week, PharmaCompass brings you a compilation of the Drug Master Files (DMFs) updates at the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) over the past two quarters. These applications provide an overview of the products active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) manufacturers are investing in. And, they also give a sneak preview into the next possible first-to-file (FTF) generic challenges to patented drugs. Here are some key findings from our compilation of the FDA’s DMF updates over the second and third quarter of 2016, details of which were provided in July and October: India leads the pack, as the number of filings remain the same Over the period, there were a total of 379 updates of DMFs at the FDA. This number indicates a pace in filings that is nearly the same as the previous quarters. We had seen 180 DMFs updates in the last quarter (Q4) of 2015 and 190 in the first quarter (Q1) of 2016. During the last two quarters, the DMF updates were led by Indian companies, such as Macleods Pharmaceuticals (14 DMFs), MSN Labs (13 DMFs), Hetero (12 DMFs), Lupin (9 DMFs), Cipla and Biophore. The other prominent companies were Mylan and Teva. Companies with compliance issues stay away Unlike previous quarters, where companies with compliance problems continued to submit DMFs, the last two quarters were slightly different, since companies like Zhejiang Hisun and Ipca Laboratories did not submit DMFs. However, Emcure Pharmaceuticals — whose Pune facility was inspected by the FDA last year and a warning letter was issued to the company for violations of current good manufacturing practices (cGMPs) in March this year — submitted one DMF (for Phytonadione) While China shut down antibiotic manufacturing in the Shijiazhuang city, raising concerns about the global supply chain’s dependence on China, Sinopharm Weiqida Datong Pharmaceutical, located about 300 kilometers away from Shijiazhuang, filed DMFs for the key building blocks of antibiotic manufacturing — 6-APA and 7-ACA. Once again, this filing reinforces the dependence of global antibiotic manufacturing on China. Click here to view all the updates of the second and third quarter of 2016 (Excel version available) for FREE! Imminent FTF challenges The FTF challenges to Alvimopan Dihydrate (Merck’s Entereg), Apremilast (Celgene’s Otezla), Bosutinib (Pfizer’s Bosulib), Daclatasvir Dihydrochloride (Bristol-Myer Squibb’s Daklinza), Elvitegravir (an ingredient in Gilead’s Vitekta, Stribild, Genvoya), Ibrutinib (AbbVie’s Imbruvica), Ospemifene (Shionogi’s Osphena), Perampanel (Eisai’s Fycompa), Pomalidomide (Celgene’s Pomalyst), Regorafenib (Bayer’s Stivarga), Tofacitinib (Pfizer’s Xeljanz) and Vortioxetine Hydrobromide (Takeda’s Trintellix) seem to be imminent in view of the recent filings of DMFs. Roche’s 2014 acquisition of InterMune for US $ 8.3 billion to gain rights to Esbriet (pirfenidone) is likely to come under attack as three more DMFs were submitted during the period under review. The ink wasn’t dry on the deal papers of Pfizer’s US $1 4 billion acquisition of Medivation in August this year, when two more companies — Watson Pharma (now Allergan) and Scinopharm — submitted filings for Enzalutamide, the product for which Pfizer paid all that money. This takes the total number of US submissions for this product to seven. Apixaban and Canagliflozin are most actively filed products The most actively updated DMFs in the past six months were for the APIs of Bristol-Myer Squibb’s new-age anticoagulant Eliquis (Apixaban) and Johnson & Johnson’s diabetes treatment Invokana (Canagliflozin). Sixteen DMFs were submitted for Apixaban along with nine for Canagliflozin. Products like Dimethyl Fumarate and Teriflunomide — which were the most frequently filed DMFs in our previous reports — continued to see vigorous filing activity. Synbias Pharma made a submission for Nelarabine, the only submission for a Novartis product that was approved in 2005 and for which the only listed patent is expiring in June 2017. Similarly DSM’s submission of Dexpanthenol is the only DMF listed for a product used in a variety of injectable and intravenous solution products. Established pharmaceutical companies like Quimica Sintetica and Piramal Healthcare made submissions for products — Benznidazole and Norprostol — which are currently not approved in the United States, indicating the possibility of development projects being underway. Our view With drug filings ranging from multiple FTFs to cannabis derivatives, updates over the two quarters have shown that regardless of the compliance news, activity in the API industry is extremely robust. You can view the PharmaCompass compilation of the new DMF filings by clicking here or simply by sending us an email to get your own Excel version of the new submissions. Click here to view all the updates of the second and third quarter of 2016 (Excel version available) for FREE!

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08 Dec 2016

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Who has the biggest one? Sales of the top pharma products by revenue.

We always knew math was fuzzy, but never imagined addition could get so complicated. A recent publication on 2014 Global Prescription Medication Statistics listed the top pharmaceutical corporations by revenues, the best selling products along with the top therapy areas. The list, based on data published by IMS Health, caught us by surprise since a previous publication by FiercePharma had a completely different order when ranking the top 15 pharmaceutical companies. As the difference in revenues of the top-10 companies was in excess of $60 billion and IMS Health’s data is an industry standard for decision making, we dug deeper to analyze the correlation between the information in the annual reports and IMS Health’s statistics. Which pharmaceutical company is the largest? Simply put, the answer is, ‘it depends’ on how you define a pharmaceutical company. Should divisions like diagnostics, animal health, vaccines, consumer health be counted when determining the size of a pharmaceutical company? FiercePharma, in their analysis, used the total revenue of all divisions of the organizations to determine the largest organization; in their case it is Johnson & Johnson. IMS determines their numbers by measuring “prescription sales and dispensing” and hence, excludes divisions like diagnostics, consumer health and animal health, making Novartis the largest company. As currency exchange rate fluctuations have their own, big role, in determining the size of organizations, we believed it would be best to share the revenues, as presented, so that you can draw your own conclusions. Table 1/ Sales comparison for top pharmaceutical companies in 2014 from different sources (IMS, Fierce Pharma and Annual Reports) Big Pharma IMS Rank IMS Sales (US $Mn) Fierce Pharma Rank Fierce Pharma Sales (US $Mn) Group Sales based on the Annual Report (Currency as reported, Mn) Novartis 1 51,307 2 57,996 USD 57,996 Pfizer 2 44,929 4 49,605 USD 49,605 Sanofi 3 40,037 5 43,070 Euro 33,770 Roche 4 37,607 3 49,866 CHF 49,866 Merck & Co 5 36,550 6 42,237 USD 42,237 Johnson & Johnson 6 36,422 1 74,331 USD 74,331 AstraZeneca 7 33,313 8 26,095 USD 26,095 Glaxo SmithKline 8 31,470 7 37,960 GBP 23,006 Teva 9 26,001 11 20,272 USD 20,272 Gilead Sciences 10 23,673 10 24,474 USD 24,890 Amgen 11 20,473 12 20,063 USD 20,063 Lilly 12 19,909 14 19,615 USD 19,615 AbbVie 13 19,049 13 19,960 USD 19,960 Bayer 14 18,347 9 25,470 Euro 42,239 Bristol-Myers Squibb Not in Top 20 15 15,879 USD 15,879 NB: Mn is million Click here to access and download all the 2014 data (Excel version available) for FREE! Since each group has multiple divisions, we further split the sales for you to brainstorm: Table 2/ Sales comparison of the different divisions of top pharmaceutical companies in 2014 (Annual Reports in Mn) Big Pharma Pharma Division Vaccine Division Generics Consumer Health Other Divisions Medical Devices/ Diagnostics Division Animal Health Division Divestures/ Other adjustments Novartis USD 31,791 Sandoz USD 9,562 Alcon USD 10,827 USD 5,816 Pfizer USD 45,708 USD 3,446 USD 451 Sanofi Euro 22,578 Euro 3,974 Euro 1,805 Euro 3,337 Euro 2,076 Roche CHF 38,969 CHF 10,897 Merck & Co USD 30,740 USD 5,302 USD 6,195 Johnson & Johnson USD 32,313 USD 14,496 USD 27,522 AstraZeneca USD 26,095 Glaxo SmithKline GBP 18,670 GBP 4,336 Teva USD 10,458 USD 9,814 Gilead Sciences USD 24,474 USD 416 Amgen USD 19,327 USD 736 Lilly USD 16,481 USD 788 USD 2,346 AbbVie USD 19,960 Bayer Euro 12,052 Euro 7,923 Euro 22,264 Bristol-Myers Squibb USD 15,879 Click here to access and download all the 2014 data (Excel version available) for FREE! Not sure that it adds any extra clarity on what should define a global pharmaceutical company… Since the various divisions make companies complicated to assess, what about product sales? The good news is that we have a winner! Humira®, AbbVie’s monoclonal antibody Adalimumab, used to treat rheumatoid and other types of arthritis, is the highest selling product globally. IMS reported Humira’s annual sales for 2014 at $11,844 million, while AbbVie mentions their sales of Humira at $12,543 million, the difference: a mere $700 million! However, with IMS gathering data across various points of the supply chain, and the recent volatility of the currency markets, we believe that a difference of 5.5% of total sales is within range of reason. Unfortunately, things stopped making sense the moment we reached the number-two product on the IMS list. Lantus®, Sanofi’s insulin glargine, recorded sales of Euro 6,344 million (based on Sanofi’s 2014 annual report), while IMS mentions Lantus sales were $10,331 million last year. In addition, Sanofi has an 11% growth rate reported while IMS indicates a growth of 30%. So unless the Euro/Dollar exchange rate moves back towards the 1.5 range, there seems to be a serious difference in the way the product sales are calculated by companies and by IMS. Using information available in the annual reports and other company declarations, we attempted to compare IMS’ Top 20 Global Products 2014 with available public information, to only find more complications! Table 3/ Sales comparison of the top pharmaceutical products in 2014 (IMS vs Annual Reports) Products IMS Rank IMS Sales (US $Mn) Annual Reports Sales (US $Mn) Pharma Compass Rank Big Pharma Currency Annual Reports Sales in Mn Marketing Partner Marketing Partner Annual Report Sales (US $Mn) Humira® 1 11,844 12,543 1 Abbvie USD 12,543 Lantus® 2 10,331 7,676 5 Sanofi Euro 6,344 Sovaldi® 3 9,375 10,283 2 Gilead Sciences USD 10,283 Abilify® 4 9,285 7,556 6 Bristol Myers-Squibb USD 2,020 Otsuka 5,536 Enbrel® 5 8,707 8,538 4 Amgen USD 4,688 Pfizer 3,850 Seretide® 6 8,652 6,589 8 GSK GBP 4,229 Crestor® 7 8,473 5,512 11 AstraZeneca USD 5,512 Remicade® 8 8,097 9,880 3 Johnson & Johnson USD 6,868 Merck & Co. 2,372 Mitsubishi Tanabe 640 Nexium® 9 7,681 3,655 19 AstraZeneca USD 3,655 Mabthera® 10 6,552 6,936 7 Roche CHF 5,603 Roche 1,305 Avastin® 11 6,070 6,449 9 Roche CHF 6,417 Lyrica® 12 6,002 5,168 12 Pfizer USD 5,168 Herceptin® 13 5,564 6,306 10 Roche CHF 6,275 Spiriva® 14 5,483 3,917 17 Boehringer Euro 3,237 Januvia® 15 4,991 3,931 16 Merck & Co. USD 3,931 Copaxone® 16 4,788 4,237 14 Teva USD 4,237 Novorapid® 17 4,718 2,835 20 Novo Nordisk DKK 17,449 Neulasta® 18 4,627 4,596 13 Amgen USD 4,596 Symbicort® 19 4,535 3,801 18 AstraZeneca USD 3,801 Lucentis® 20 4,437 4,152 15 Novartis USD 2,441 Roche 1,711 Click here to access and download all the 2014 data (Excel version available) for FREE! It’s clear that the methods used to determine product sales are considerably different between IMS and the pharmaceutical companies, however there is a range of consistency as well. How accurate is each information really depends on the analyst’s point of view. Our take: With over $350 billion in total sales, we have provided our raw data for your review since we are certain that there are opportunities worth capitalizing upon and others, which may not be worthwhile to pursue. While the assessment of pharmaceutical sales is far more complicated than what we had originally imaged, the focus of Big Pharma on small molecules is on Hepatitis C drugs (Sofosbuvir, Olysio, AbbVie Hep C), blood thinners, Eliquis® (Apixaban), Xarelto®(Rivaroxaban) and of course ‘tinib’ cancer treatments. Table 4/ Growth of ‘tinib’ cancer treatments in 2014 (Annual Reports) Products Big Pharma Sales (US $Mn) 2013 Sales (US $Mn) 2014 Growth (%) Ibrutinib Pharmacyclics, Inc (now AbbVie) 14 492 3414% Dasatinib Bristol-Myers Squibb 1280 1493 17% Trametinib GSK 10 68 580% Nilotinib Novartis 1266 1529 21% Ruxolitinib Novartis 163 279 71% Ceritinib Novartis Not launched 31 Sunitinib Maleate Pfizer 1204 1174 -2% Crizotinib Pfizer 282 438 55% Axitinib Pfizer 319 410 29% Tofacitinib Citrate Pfizer 114 308 170% Click here to access and download all the 2014 data (Excel version available) for FREE! However, Big Pharma is now all about biologics. IMS’s data indicates that the top 10 products have only 5 biologics, while our calculations have 8 out of the top 10 products as biologics. The future strategy is best summed up by the statement in Bristol-Myers Squibb’s annual report “Just 5 years ago, we had about 40% of our development projects in biologics. If we look forward 3-5 years, we believe that number could potentially grow to about 75%”. The barriers of entry for generic competition and potential windfalls have made rivals come together to co-market Synagis® (AbbVie & AstraZeneca), Remicade® (Johnson & Johnson, Merck and Tanabe), Xolair® and Lucentis® (Roche & Novartis). Our pharmaceutical whisper (phisper): join the bio-age or bio-degrade!

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23 Apr 2015

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