Acquisitions and spin-offs dominated headlines in 2019 and the tone was set very early with Bristol-Myers Squibb acquiring
New Jersey-based cancer drug company Celgene in a US$ 74 billion deal announced on
January 3, 2019. After factoring
in debt, the deal value ballooned to about US$ 95 billion, which according
to data compiled by Refinitiv, made it the largest healthcare deal on
record.
In the summer, AbbVie Inc,
which sells the world’s best-selling drug Humira, announced its acquisition of Allergan Plc, known for Botox and other cosmetic
treatments, for US$ 63 billion. While the companies are still awaiting
regulatory approval for their deal, with US$ 49 billion in combined 2019
revenues, the merged entity would rank amongst the biggest in the industry.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
The big five by pharmaceutical sales — Pfizer,
Roche, J&J, Novartis and Merck
Pfizer
continued
to lead companies by pharmaceutical sales by reporting annual 2019 revenues of
US$ 51.8 billion, a decrease of US$ 1.9 billion, or 4 percent, compared to
2018. The decline was primarily attributed to the loss of exclusivity of Lyrica in 2019,
which witnessed its sales drop from US$ 5 billion in 2018 to US$ 3.3 billion in
2019.
In 2018, Pfizer’s then incoming CEO Albert Bourla had mentioned that the company did not see the need for any large-scale M&A activity as Pfizer had “the best pipeline” in its history, which needed the company to focus on deploying its capital to keep its pipeline flowing and execute on its drug launches.
Bourla stayed true to his word and barring the acquisition of Array Biopharma for US$ 11.4 billion and a spin-off to merge Upjohn, Pfizer’s off-patent branded and generic established medicines business with
Mylan, there weren’t any other big ticket deals which were announced.
The
Upjohn-Mylan merged entity will be called Viatris and is expected to have 2020
revenues between US$ 19 and US$ 20 billion
and could outpace Teva to
become the largest generic company in the world, in term of revenues.
Novartis, which had
followed Pfizer with the second largest revenues in the pharmaceutical industry
in 2018, reported its first full year earnings after spinning off its Alcon eye
care devices business division that
had US$ 7.15 billion in 2018 sales.
In 2019,
Novartis slipped two spots in the ranking after reporting total sales of US$
47.4 billion and its CEO Vas Narasimhan continued his deal-making spree by buying New
Jersey-headquartered The Medicines Company (MedCo) for US$ 9.7
billion to acquire a late-stage cholesterol-lowering
therapy named inclisiran.
As Takeda Pharmaceutical Co was
busy in 2019 on working to reduce its debt burden incurred due to its US$ 62
billion purchase of Shire Plc, which was announced in 2018, Novartis also purchased
the eye-disease medicine, Xiidra, from the Japanese drugmaker for US$ 5.3 billion.
Novartis’ management also spent a considerable part of 2019 dealing with data-integrity concerns which emerged from its 2018 buyout of AveXis, the
gene-therapy maker Novartis had acquired for US$ 8.7 billion.
The deal gave Novartis rights to Zolgensma,
a novel treatment intended for children less than two years of age with the
most severe form of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). Priced at US$ 2.1 million,
Zolgensma is currently the world’s most expensive drug.
However,
in a shocking announcement, a month after approving the drug, the US Food and
Drug Administration (FDA) issued a press release on
data accuracy issues as the agency was informed by AveXis that
its personnel had manipulated data which
the FDA used to evaluate product comparability and nonclinical (animal)
pharmacology as part of the biologics license application (BLA), which was
submitted and reviewed by the FDA.
With US$
50.0 billion (CHF 48.5 billion) in annual pharmaceutical sales, Swiss drugmaker
Roche came in at number two position in 2019
as its sales grew 11 percent driven by
its multiple sclerosis medicine Ocrevus, haemophilia drug Hemlibra and cancer medicines Tecentriq and Perjeta.
Roche’s newly introduced medicines generated US$ 5.53 billion (CHF 5.4 billion) in growth, helping offset the impact of the competition from biosimilars for its three best-selling drugs MabThera/Rituxan, Herceptin and Avastin.
In late 2019, after months of increased
antitrust scrutiny, Roche completed
its US$ 5.1 billion acquisition of Spark Therapeutics to strengthen its presence in
gene therapy.
Last year, J&J reported almost flat worldwide sales of US$ 82.1 billion. J&J’s pharmaceutical division generated US$ 42.20 billion and its medical devices and consumer health divisions brought in US$ 25.96 billion and US$ 13.89 billion respectively.
Since J&J’s consumer health division sells analgesics, digestive health along with beauty and oral care products, the US$ 5.43 billion in consumer health sales from over-the-counter drugs and women’s health products was only used in our assessment of J&J’s total pharmaceutical revenues. With combined pharmaceutical sales of US$ 47.63 billion, J&J made it to number three on our list.
While the sales of products like Stelara, Darzalex, Imbruvica, Invega Sustenna drove J&J’s pharmaceutical business to grow by 4 percent over 2018, the firm had to contend with generic competition against key revenue contributors Remicade and Zytiga.
US-headquartered Merck, which is known as
MSD (short for Merck Sharp & Dohme) outside the United States and
Canada, is set to significantly move up the rankings next year fueled by its
cancer drug Keytruda, which witnessed a 55
percent increase in sales to US$ 11.1 billion.
Merck reported total revenues of US$ 41.75 billion and also
announced it will spin off its women’s health drugs,
biosimilar drugs and older products to create a new pharmaceutical
company with US$ 6.5 billion in annual revenues.
The firm had anticipated 2020 sales between US$ 48.8 billion and US$ 50.3 billion however this week it announced that the coronavirus pandemic will reduce 2020 sales by more than $2 billion.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Humira holds on to remain world’s best-selling drug
AbbVie’s acquisition of Allergan comes as the firm faces the expiration of patent protection for Humira, which brought in a staggering US$ 19.2 billion in sales last year for
the company. AbbVie has failed to successfully acquire or develop a major new
product to replace the sales generated by its flagship drug.
In 2019, Humira’s US revenues increased 8.6 percent to US$ 14.86 billion while internationally, due
to biosimilar competition, the sales dropped 31.1 percent to US$ 4.30 billion.
Bristol Myers Squibb’s Eliquis, which is also marketed by Pfizer, maintained its number two position
and posted total sales of US$ 12.1 billion, a 23 percent increase over 2018.
While Bristol Myers Squibb’s immunotherapy treatment Opdivo, sold in partnership with Ono in Japan, saw sales increase from US$ 7.57 billion to US$ 8.0 billion, the growth paled in comparison to the US$ 3.9
billion revenue increase of Opdivo’s key immunotherapy competitor Merck’s Keytruda.
Keytruda took the number three spot in drug sales that
previously belonged to Celgene’s Revlimid, which witnessed a sales decline from US$ 9.69 billion to US$ 9.4 billion.
Cancer treatment Imbruvica, which is marketed
by J&J and AbbVie, witnessed a 30 percent increase in sales. With US$ 8.1
billion in 2019 revenues, it took the number five position.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Vaccines – Covid-19 turns competitors into partners
This year has been dominated by the single biggest health emergency in years — the novel coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic. As drugs continue to fail to meet expectations, vaccine development has received a lot of attention.
GSK reported the highest vaccine sales of all drugmakers with
total sales of US$ 8.4 billion (GBP 7.16 billion), a significant portion of its
total sales of US$ 41.8 billion (GBP 33.754 billion).
US-based Merck’s vaccine division also reported a significant increase in sales to US$ 8.0 billion and in 2019 received FDA and EU approval to market its Ebola vaccine Ervebo.
This is the first FDA-authorized vaccine against the deadly virus which causes
hemorrhagic fever and spreads from person to person through direct contact with
body fluids.
Pfizer and Sanofi also reported an increase in their vaccine sales to US$ 6.4
billion and US$ 6.2 billion respectively and the Covid-19 pandemic has recently
pushed drugmakers to move faster than ever before and has also converted
competitors into partners.
In a rare move, drug behemoths — Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) —joined hands to develop a vaccine for the novel coronavirus.
The two companies plan to start human trials
in the second half of this year, and if things go right, they will file
for potential approvals by the second half of 2021.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Our view
Covid-19 has brought the world economy to a grinding halt and shifted the global attention to the pharmaceutical industry’s capability to deliver solutions to address this pandemic.
Our compilation shows that vaccines and drugs
for infectious diseases currently form a tiny fraction of the total sales of
pharmaceutical companies and few drugs against infectious diseases rank high on
the sales list.
This could well explain the limited range of
options currently available to fight Covid-19. With the pandemic currently infecting
over 3 million people spread across more than 200 countries, we can safely
conclude that the scenario in 2020 will change substantially. And so should our
compilation of top drugs for the year.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Impressions: 54342
29 year-old healthcare investor, Vivek Ramaswamy, bought an old Alzheimer's drug that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) had
dropped for $5 million. Six months later, without doing any clinical
development at all, the drug resulted in the biggest
biotech IPO ever (Initial Public Offering), two weeks ago and got valued at
over $2 billion!It’s clear that either GSK, or Wall Street, have no idea what they are talking about. Indian American, Vivek Ramaswamy left “hedge fund QVT in May 2014 to form what is essentially a shell company, Roivant Sciences. In October 2014, Roivant spins off a subsidiary Axovant
Sciences”. Axovant then bought an Alzheimer’s experimental drug for $5m in December from GSK,
which had shelved the compound four years ago after testing it in 13 trials and
1,250 patients. Is
the world really crazy to trust a 29 year-old more than GSK?The miracle
drugSetting aside allegations that the IPO was designed to favor Ramaswamy’s hedge fund friends and family, the drug: 3-Phenylsulfonyl-8-(piperazin-1-yl) quinolone (also known as SB-742457 and RVT-101), failed
to meet the desired endpoints in the several clinical trials that GSK ran. However, there
was one exception that when the drug is taken with widely used, Alzheimer’s treatment, Aricept, it showed a
slower decline in cognition than Aricept
alone. So what’s the big deal?Alzheimer's disease offers one of the most lucrative markets in the pharma business, with one analyst estimating the opportunity to be $20 billion. However, the drug research is also considered to be a “wild-goose
chase” given the limited understanding of the disease’s biology, which in turn makes clinical trials very expensive to run. From 2002 to 2012, there was just a .04%
success rate (or 99.6% failure rate) of Alzheimer’s drugs meeting the standard. It’s all about the people!Axovant has assembled
a team, which includes Aricept developer, Lawrence Friedhoff (developer of the second-most widely used drug to treat Alzheimer’s disease, Namenda) and Atul Pande (former head
of the neurosciences unit of GSK that led the development of RVT-101). Axovant’s all-star team has taken on the responsibility to bring the drug to market and Wall Street valuation believes this will be possible. Wall
Street expectations aside, could Glaxo really be this wrong?Drugs under clinical research constantly
get picked up and dropped. Rejection is really no big deal since many molecules
get rejected by the FDA in the first review only to be approved years later. The list is surprisingly long for products,
which got rejected before being approved and includes: thrice rejected Aveed (testosterone)
by Endo
Pharmaceuticals, weight
loss pill Belviq (lorcaserin),
almost approved “female Viagra” Flibanserin and many more. In the case of the antibiotic oritavancin
(Orbactiv), it took
more than 20 years to come to market and involved four ownership changes
before it got final approval. The big question however is always whether
the fate will be surreal like that of pirfenidone,
or a horror story like Diapep277. InterMune’s pirfenidone, got rejected by the FDA in 2010 due to the drug’s unconvincing
efficacy at the time, only to be approved last year and get acquired
by Roche for $8.5 billion. Potential type I diabetes treatment DiaPep277
is however a horror
story. Licensed to Sanofi by the
originator, Peptor Ltd., it got returned by the French pharma giant two years
later, only to generate Teva’s interest. Teva invested $170 million to fund further
clinical trials. However, the drug underwent a series of changes in ownership
and finally, when Hyperion
acquired rights to the drug last year, for an amount that could have reached $570 million, they found that the clinical data had been falsified…Hyperion subsequently cancelled
the acquisition! Wish
to join the Axovant party?It’s clear that rejection of a drug at any stage is never the end of the road for that particular molecule since it can always emerge in a different format to get approval. There is a significant shift, where a
significant amount of clinical
trial data is going to be made public by pharmaceutical companies. It may
be worthwhile to adopt an Axovant model and move some resources from the lab bench
to the computer screen! The other reason to look for once-rejected drugs is that their valid patent life would be effectively shorter, when compared with ‘first-time-through’ products.Axovant’s success will benefit patients of Alzheimer’s and certainly make GSK conduct a serious internal review on how they handle their drug development programs.
Impressions: 10359
Over
700 commonly used generic medicines were
recommended for suspension by the European Medicines Agency (EMA) based on data
integrity concerns, over clinical studies conducted at GVK Biosciences in
Hyderabad, India.What
will be the global fallout of the European decision? The European decision has
impacted products from companies such as:Abbott Laboratories, Accord Healthcare (Intas), Actavis, Alembic, Apotex, Betapharm (Dr. Reddy’s), Brown & Burk UK, Fair Med Healthcare AG, Glenmark, Lupin, Micro Labs, Mylan, Orion Corporation, Ranbaxy, Ratiopharm, Sandoz, Sanofi-Aventis, Stada, Teva, Torrent, Wockhardt, Zydus… and many, many more.The
original recommendation of suspending
some of the medicines
made in January 2015, was an outcome of an inspection of GVK Biosciences’ site in Hyderabad (GVK BIO is a Clinical Research Organization-
CRO) by the
French medicines agency (ANSM) through the EMA. The EMA stated in their official release: “The
inspection revealed data manipulations of electrocardiograms (ECGs) during the
conduct of some studies of generic medicines, which appeared to have taken
place over a period of at least five years. Their systematic nature, the
extended period of time during which they took place and the number of members
of staff involved cast doubt on the integrity of the conduct of trials at the
site.” 1000 drugs reviewed// 700
rejectedWhile
over 1,000 pharmaceutical forms and strengths were reviewed at the GVK site,
over 300 of them had sufficient supporting data available from other sources.
As a result, these medicines were allowed to remain on the market in the EU.However, for the over 700 other medicines, the EMA after its second review, maintained its previous recommendation of January 2015, to suspend medicines, where no additional supporting data from other studies was available. Only one exception after that second review was spared from suspension, as the company was able to address the EMA’s concerns: it was Bivolet Nebivolol (5 mg tablets/ marketing authorisation holder: Neo Balkanika EOOD).While the agency noted that “there is no evidence of harm or
lack of effectiveness linked to the conduct of studies by GVK Biosciences at
Hyderabad. Some of these medicines may remain on the market” if they are of critical importance for patients. However, the recommendation
will now be sent to the European Commission for a legally binding decision,
which will apply to Member States regardless of the decision taken in the
interim period.The updated list of medicines for which, the CHMP (Committee
for Medicinal Products for Human Use) recommends suspension, is available on the EMA website. Companies
are given 12 months to submit additional data. The potential global impact of the European
suspensions?The GVK Biosciences
scandal is almost as severe in magnitude and impact, as the data falsification
concerns, which were discovered at Ranbaxy (Katherine Eban’s stunning investigation in Fortune, “Dirty Medicine” covers this extensively). One of the main promoters of GVK Biosciences is Mr. D.S. Brar who was CEO & Managing Director of Ranbaxy from 1999-2004. The impact of GVK
Biosciences’ misdeeds is already being felt on new product launches. Mylan recently withdrew its European application for generic
Abilify (aripiprazole) (2014 sales US$6.2x billion) citing “identification of major GCP issues (Good
Clinical Practices).” What about the impact on the US market?In 2010, FDA discovered data integrity
violations, which bankrupted
clinical research organization, Cetero Research/PRACS. Based on the Cetero findings
in the United States, the EMA suspended seven drugs. Now it remains to
be seen, how the FDA will handle the data integrity concerns found in Europe
since products like repaglinide & candesartan cilexitil (Mylan), levetiracetam (Dr. Reddy’s), clonazepam (Sandoz), metformin hydrochloride (Actavis), tacrolimus (Panacea Biotech) all have U.S. FDA approvals. Leading GVK Biosciences’ defense is the Indian government, who warned last month that if the European Union does not reconsider their decision, it may go to the World Trade Organization. The Indian government’s position is based on an appeal by GVK Biosciences, which made the “Indian government set up a panel of experts last year to investigate
the matter and found no manipulation”, GVK Biosciences CEO Manni Kantipudi told Reuters.However, globally reputed GMP expert, Lachman Consultants, believes that the GVK Bioscience episode “could potentially impact data integrity, similar to the Cetero/PRACS
case”.It’s clear for us that this is not the end of the story…
Impressions: 3944