Pipeline Prospector Jan 2022: Omicron drives down pharma & biotech stocks

Pipeline Prospector Jan 2022: Omicron drives down pharma & biotech stocks

By PharmaCompass

2022-02-10Impressions: 2957

Pipeline Prospector Jan 2022: Omicron drives down pharma & biotech stocks

The first two years of the pandemic proved to be a boon for the biopharmaceutical industry. With companies working at a feverish pace to develop Covid-19 vaccines and anti-viral drugs, investors were bullish on biopharma stocks. During this period, stocks of publicly traded biotechs soared to all-time highs.

Startups launched initial public offerings (IPOs) at a record pace. During 2020 and 2021, 149 biotechs raised at least US$ 50 million in IPOs, compared to 83 in the previous two years, according to BioPharma Dive data. However, during the second half of 2021, the pace and performance of biotech IPOs began to plummet.

For the markets, 2022 began on a muted note. The SPDR S&P Biotech exchange traded fund (ETF), which is tracked by fund specialists to measure the industrys performance, slumped by 18.7 percent in January.

But has the investors’ honeymoon with the biotech stocks come to an end?

Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for January 2022 Newsmakers


Bad news, profit taking lead to fall in stock markets

There are clear reasons behind the bearish trend witnessed in January. With the detection of Omicron in the last quarter of 2021 came news that vaccines are not as effective on this new variant. As a result, most vaccine makers suffered losses at the bourses in January. For instance, Moderna — one of the top stocks of 2021 post the success of its messenger RNA-based vaccine — saw one of the biggest drops in values. Analysts began questioning whether Covid-19 vaccine sales alone can justify Moderna’s meteoric valuation.

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Pfizer-BioNTech’s mRNA vaccine has had a dream run so far. But questions around the effectiveness of the vaccine against Omicron and the fact that the vaccines are less profitable than other drugs have driven down the stock prices of both companies.

Similarly, Regeneron (casirivimab and imdevimab) and Eli Lilly’s (bamlanivimab and etesevimab) antibody treatments suffered a blow as the FDA halted the use of these injections in Omicron patients. These “treatments are highly unlikely to be active against the Omicron variant,” the FDA said.

Catalent, a contract development and manufacturing firm, and Novo Nordisk also saw some bad news last month. Catalents syringe filling facility in Brussels, Belgium, received a Form 483 from FDA and contributed to major supply woes for Novo Nordisks obesity drug Wegovy.

Similarly, Gileads US$ 5 billion cancer drug candidate – magrolimab – received a setback when the FDA placed a partial clinical hold on studies evaluating the combination of magrolimab and azacitidine. Gilead also pulled cancer drug Zydelig (idelalisib) off the market for certain types of cancer after failing to complete follow-up clinical trials to confirm its efficacy and safety.

Anticipating a fall in the stock market, several investors began to book profits. Tax planning led to further drop in the biopharma stocks. In the US, traders often like to wait until January to sell stocks so that they get more time to file their capital gains tax. For instance, the tax bill on stocks sold in January 2022 becomes due only on April 15, 2023, as against the April 15, 2022, deadline for stocks sold in December 2021.

Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for January 2022 Newsmakers


Novavax stumbles in vaccine race

After a series of delays in the lead-up to Novavax’s Covid-19 vaccine filing with the FDA, the biotech completed its emergency use authorization (EUA) request in January-end. The vaccine — NVX-CoV2373 — is a protein-based shot that has demonstrated efficacy of about 90 percent against symptomatic disease in a large trial in the US and Mexico.

Novavax had originally hoped to file its EUA by the second quarter of 2021, but it had to push that deadline to the third quarter due to a manufacturing glitch. In October 2021, it announced a further delay, and finally completed the paperwork last month.

Investors have been worried about the revenue prospects for latecomers — they fear Novavax’s vaccine may arrive at a time when demand for Covid-19 vaccination would have dropped significantly. At the start of 2020, Novavax shares had soared a whopping 7,900 percent. However, by 2021-end, the stock had retreated 55 percent from its high.

The other loser last month was Denali Therapeutics as the FDA put a clinical hold on its Alzheimer’s drug even before the drug entered human trials. The news alarmed investors, sending Denali’s shares down 11 percent.

The move also impacted Takeda, which strengthened its 2018 deal with Denali in early January by entering into an agreement to develop and commercialize up to three specified therapeutic product candidates for neurodegenerative diseases. Each program is directed to a genetically validated target for neurodegenerative disorders, including Alzheimers disease and other indications.

Another loser was Lysogene, which ended its deal with Sarepta Therapeutics for an experimental therapy to treat a rare inherited disease of the central nervous system. The termination, set to take effect on July 11, followed unsuccessful discussions between the two drugmakers regarding responsibility for global commercial supply, the companies said.

Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for January 2022 Newsmakers


FDA denies approval to Pfizer’s growth hormone deficiency drug

Pfizer faced a big setback last month when the FDA declined to approve its treatment for growth hormone deficiency in children, developed in partnership with OPKO Health. The agencys complete response letter (CRL) came as a surprise since the biologic drug – somatrogon – has already been approved under the brand name Ngenla in Japan, Australia and Canada. An official go-ahead in Europe is also expected soon after the European Medicines Agency (EMA) recommended somatrogon for marketing authorization in the EU. Shares of Pfizer were down 0.4 percent after this news, while the OPKO stock dropped 9.2 percent.

Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for January 2022 Newsmakers


Merck emerges biggest gainer

Merck was one of the biggest gainers on the bourses last month as its stock gained by 6 percent. In January, Merck and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics announced data from six preclinical studies demonstrating that its oral anti-viral Covid-19 med — molnupiravir — was active against the Omicron variant (B1.1.529) in vitro.

The in vitro studies were independently conducted by researchers from institutions in six countries, including Belgium, Czech Republic, Germany, Poland, the Netherlands and the United States. Molnupiravir has yet to be studied against Omicron in clinical studies.

There was more good news from Merck — its immuno-oncology drug Keytruda was approved in Japan to treat patients with certain types of endometrial cancer. Japan’s Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (MHLW) approved Keytruda, when used in combination with Eisai’s Lenvima to treat patients with unresectable, advanced, or recurrent endometrial carcinomas that progressed after chemotherapy. Endometrial cancer is a type of cancer that begins in the uterus. This indication could bring in another US$ 200 million in annual sales for Merck.

Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for January 2022 Newsmakers


UCB acquires Zogenix

Belgian biopharma UCB acquired Zogenix for US$ 1.9 billion to expand its portfolio of rare disease drugs and epilepsy treatments. The Belgian firm has offered US$ 26 per share in cash to seal the deal. The California-based firm had received US and EU approvals for its drug Fintepla that treats Dravet syndrome (a rare form of childhood epilepsy with limited treatment options) in 2020. The drug brought in sales of US$ 21.4 million in the third quarter of 2021. It is now seeking an approval for Fintepla to treat Lennox-Gastaut Syndrome (LGS), another rare form of childhood epilepsy. Acquiring Zogenix will allow UCB to move deeper into the epilepsy market, where it already has four products. Post this announcement, shares of Zogenix Inc soared more than 60 percent. Here are some other deals announced in January:

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Exscientia-Sanofi deal: Pharmatech company Exscientia inked a research collaboration and license agreement potentially worth billions of dollars with French drugmaker Sanofi SA. The companies said they plan to use Exscientia’s AI-based capabilities and personalized medicine platform to develop up to 15 novel small molecule candidates across oncology and immunology. Exscientia will receive an upfront cash payment of US$ 100 million and will be eligible for up to US$ 5.2 billion in milestones payments, along with royalties on sales of products resulting from the collaboration.

Pfizer-Beam research collaboration: Pfizer and Beam Therapeutics entered into an exclusive four-year research collaboration for rare genetic diseases of the liver, muscle and central nervous system. As part of the collaboration, Pfizer will make an upfront payment of US$ 300 million to Beam.

BMS-Century deal: Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS) announced a research collaboration and license agreement with Century Therapeutics to develop and commercialize four drug candidates to treat blood and bone marrow cancers along with solid tumors. Century will receive an initial sum of US$ 100 million from BMS, and the pharma giant will also put in an additional US$ 50 million in Century’s stock. Century may also receive an additional US$ 3 billion in milestone payments and royalties. Meanwhile, BMS said it is planning a slew of deals and M&As over the next two years to offset the loss of revenue from its blockbuster multiple myeloma drug – Revlimid – which is slated to hit the patent cliff this year.

Fusion-Pepscan deal: Fusion Pharmaceuticals, a clinical-stage oncology company focused on developing next-generation radiopharmaceuticals as precision medicines, entered into a strategic research collaboration with Pepscan Therapeutics (Pepscan) to discover novel, peptide-based radiopharmaceuticals for the treatment of various solid tumors.

Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for January 2022 Newsmakers


Our view

The year 2022 began with two IPO announcements — CinCor Pharma and Amylyx Pharmaceuticals. CinCor, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, announced a US$ 193.6 million IPO while Amylyx’s IPO is US$190 million in size.

While these two stocks so far are not doing so badly, some other new arrivals, such as Vigil Neuro and Hillstream Biopharma, are already trading below their float price.

A fortnight back, we had quoted PriceWaterhouseCoopers’ new report Pharmaceutical and Life Sciences: Deals 2022 outlook — along with some other news (from BMS and Johnson & Johnson) to conclude that we could see exceptional M&A activity during the year.

While 2022 may certainly witness more mergers and acquisitions, as of today, it doesn’t seem like the stock markets will be as favorable to biopharma stocks as they were in the previous two years. Though that’s still not reason enough for investors to lose hope. For, more M&A activity will also have a bearing on how the stock markets play out.

Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for January 2022 Newsmakers

Pharma & Biotech Newsmakers January 2022

Company Country Currency Market Cap (Bn) Change In Market Cap (M) Stock Price Change In Price

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Image Credit : Pharma & Biotech Recap January 2022 by PharmaCompass is licensed under CC BY 2.0

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