Nearly every
year, drugmakers ring in the new year with drug price increases in the US. This
year too, prices of over 450 prescription
medicines increased by an average of around 5 percent at the start of January.
This, when high drug prices have been one of the biggest political issues in
the US over the last few years.
PharmaCompass decided to usher in 2022 with a review of the US Medicare Part D Prescription Drug data recently released by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) for calendar year 2019. Using the available data, we have developed our own dashboard to show recent trends in consumption of prescription drugs. With this analysis, we hope our readers will get a better understanding of the world’s largest market for pharmaceuticals, as also a fix on where it may be headed.
View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available)
Rising healthcare, drug spends in US
Over the
last several years, we have repeatedly heard political leaders in the US
complain about high drug prices. Yet, drug prices and healthcare spends have
risen unabated.
America’s National Health Expenditure Accounts (NHEA) includes annual expenditures on healthcare goods and services, public health activities, the net cost of health insurance, and investment related to healthcare. In 2019, America’s national health expenditure (NHE) grew by 4.6 percent to US$ 3.8
trillion, accounting for 17.7 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP).
During the year, prescription drug spend increased by 5.7
percent to US$ 369.7 billion. In comparison, Medicare spend grew 6.7
percent to US$ 799.4 billion.
President
Joe Biden recently stressed on the need to cap the prices of essential drugs,
and said that the average American pays the highest prices for prescription
drugs anywhere in the world. Americans pay 10 times as much as other countries for life-saving insulin — the top selling prescription drug covered by the Part D program.
Pharma
companies, on the other hand, have vehemently argued against any price cuts in
the US, saying price cuts would hinder drug research and development for all
diseases.
View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available)
Patented drugs account for 80.3 percent of total Part D spend
Medicare is the US federal government’s program that
provides health insurance to most people who are 65 years
or older. Medicare’s Part D plan provides outpatient drug coverage through private
insurance companies that have contracts with the federal government. Eligible
people have to choose and enroll in a private prescription drug plan for Part D
coverage. Medicare Part B, on the other hand, covers a wide variety of
medically necessary outpatient services and some preventative services.
Prescription
drug coverage under Part D reached US$ 183 billion in 2019 — a growth of around 9 percent over 2018, when spending was US$ 168 billion. Spending
on patented drugs in 2019 accounted for around US$ 147 billion or 80.3 percent
of the total spend for the year. Generic drugs made up for the remaining 19.7
percent (approximately US$ 36 billion). In 2018, generic drugs worth US$ 35.8
billion were sold under Part D, accounting for 21 percent of the total spend
under the program.
View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available)
Eliquis ranks highest on Medicare’s brand drug spend
Under Part
D, endocrinology and oncology were the two therapeutic areas that generated
maximum revenue for pharma companies, driving home sales of over US$ 31.8
billion and US$ 23.5 billion, respectively. Neurology drugs generated sales of
around US$ 22.9 billion.
Among branded
drugs, Bristol Myers Squibb’s anticoagulant Eliquis (apixaban) was the most selling drug in 2019 under Part D, notching up about US$ 7.3 billion in sales — a rise of US$ 2.3 billion or 46 percent over 2018.
Celgene’s cancer drug Revlimid (lenalidomide) roped in US$ 4.7 billion (up
by 14.6 percent), while another anticoagulant drug Xarelto (rivaroxaban) by Janssen Pharma — a unit of Johnson & Johnson — fetched US$ 4.1 billion (up 20.6 percent) in sales through Part D. AbbVie’s anti-rheumatic drug Humira and Sanofi’s diabetes drug Lantus saw sales of around US$ 3.7 billion each
under the program.
Amongst
generics, the largest selling drug under Part D (by dosage units) was metformin (diabetes), followed by gabapentin (seizure), PEG3350 with
electrolyte (gastroenterology), metoprolol (hypertension) and atorvastatin (cholesterol). In 2019, the
overall dosage units sold also jumped higher by 2.25 billion units to 111.35
billion.
The sales
ranking of Part D does bare some similarities with the global ranking of
highest selling drugs. In 2020, Humira had retained its position as the highest
selling drug in the world, generating sales of US$ 20.4 billion. Both
Eliquis and Revlimid had retained their ranking as the third and fourth most
selling drugs, bringing home US$ 14.1 billion and US$ 12.1 billion in global
sales in 2020.
View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available)
Medicare’s inability to negotiate prices costs American taxpayers billions of dollars
Over the
years, drug companies have used Medicare’s
inability to negotiate prices under Part D to increase the prices of their
drugs significantly and rip off huge profits, a three-year-long US House
Oversight Committee investigation has revealed.
US taxpayers could have saved over US$ 25 billion in five years if the prices of just seven drugs — Humira, Imbruvica, Sensipar, Enbrel, Lantus, NovoLog and Lyrica — were negotiated by Medicare. Another US$ 16.7 billion could have been saved between
2011 and 2017 on insulin products manufactured by Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk and Sanofi, which control 90 percent of the insulin market in the US, the committee’s report revealed.
Elsewhere in
the world, the same drugmakers are bending over backwards to get into medical
insurance programs. For instance, China reported that several international
pharma firms, many of them headquartered in the US, slashed the prices of their
drugs by up to 94 percent to get into the country’s national medical insurance coverage.
In the US — which accounted for around 46 percent of the global share of drugs in 2020 — senior citizens may have to pay more for medicines as the government announced a large hike in Medicare premiums for 2022
if an expensive Alzheimer’s drug, Aduhelm, is included in the list.
In order to
ensure inclusion in Medicare, Biogen slashed the price of Aduhelm by half — from US$ 56,000 to US$ 28,200 — just weeks before a crucial meeting called by the CMS. Clearly, this has set a precedent in an industry which is known for rampant price hikes and rarely for any price cuts. This could also be put forth as an example of what Medicare could achieve if it receives negotiation rights.
View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available)
Our view
President
Biden's Build Back Better legislation,
which the House passed last month, is up for vote in the Senate. The
legislation contains provisions that would allow Medicare to negotiate the
prices of some expensive drugs, penalize drugmakers who raise prices faster
than inflation and cap out-of-pocket costs for insulin at US$ 35 per month.
However, chances of the bill being passed in its present form are slim.
Even if the
Senate passes the bill, Medicare would be able to negotiate the prices of only 10 prescription drugs and insulin products in 2025.
The number would increase over the years, reaching 100 in six years, and hence
forth grow by 20 drugs a year.
It seems like 2022 won’t be the last year when January 1 will be braced with price hikes in the US by drugmakers. Looks like they will continue to make hay while the sun shines.
View US Medicare Part D 2019 Drug Spending (Free Excel Available)
Impressions: 2622
Acquisitions and spin-offs dominated headlines in 2019 and the tone was set very early with Bristol-Myers Squibb acquiring
New Jersey-based cancer drug company Celgene in a US$ 74 billion deal announced on
January 3, 2019. After factoring
in debt, the deal value ballooned to about US$ 95 billion, which according
to data compiled by Refinitiv, made it the largest healthcare deal on
record.
In the summer, AbbVie Inc,
which sells the world’s best-selling drug Humira, announced its acquisition of Allergan Plc, known for Botox and other cosmetic
treatments, for US$ 63 billion. While the companies are still awaiting
regulatory approval for their deal, with US$ 49 billion in combined 2019
revenues, the merged entity would rank amongst the biggest in the industry.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
The big five by pharmaceutical sales — Pfizer,
Roche, J&J, Novartis and Merck
Pfizer
continued
to lead companies by pharmaceutical sales by reporting annual 2019 revenues of
US$ 51.8 billion, a decrease of US$ 1.9 billion, or 4 percent, compared to
2018. The decline was primarily attributed to the loss of exclusivity of Lyrica in 2019,
which witnessed its sales drop from US$ 5 billion in 2018 to US$ 3.3 billion in
2019.
In 2018, Pfizer’s then incoming CEO Albert Bourla had mentioned that the company did not see the need for any large-scale M&A activity as Pfizer had “the best pipeline” in its history, which needed the company to focus on deploying its capital to keep its pipeline flowing and execute on its drug launches.
Bourla stayed true to his word and barring the acquisition of Array Biopharma for US$ 11.4 billion and a spin-off to merge Upjohn, Pfizer’s off-patent branded and generic established medicines business with
Mylan, there weren’t any other big ticket deals which were announced.
The
Upjohn-Mylan merged entity will be called Viatris and is expected to have 2020
revenues between US$ 19 and US$ 20 billion
and could outpace Teva to
become the largest generic company in the world, in term of revenues.
Novartis, which had
followed Pfizer with the second largest revenues in the pharmaceutical industry
in 2018, reported its first full year earnings after spinning off its Alcon eye
care devices business division that
had US$ 7.15 billion in 2018 sales.
In 2019,
Novartis slipped two spots in the ranking after reporting total sales of US$
47.4 billion and its CEO Vas Narasimhan continued his deal-making spree by buying New
Jersey-headquartered The Medicines Company (MedCo) for US$ 9.7
billion to acquire a late-stage cholesterol-lowering
therapy named inclisiran.
As Takeda Pharmaceutical Co was
busy in 2019 on working to reduce its debt burden incurred due to its US$ 62
billion purchase of Shire Plc, which was announced in 2018, Novartis also purchased
the eye-disease medicine, Xiidra, from the Japanese drugmaker for US$ 5.3 billion.
Novartis’ management also spent a considerable part of 2019 dealing with data-integrity concerns which emerged from its 2018 buyout of AveXis, the
gene-therapy maker Novartis had acquired for US$ 8.7 billion.
The deal gave Novartis rights to Zolgensma,
a novel treatment intended for children less than two years of age with the
most severe form of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). Priced at US$ 2.1 million,
Zolgensma is currently the world’s most expensive drug.
However,
in a shocking announcement, a month after approving the drug, the US Food and
Drug Administration (FDA) issued a press release on
data accuracy issues as the agency was informed by AveXis that
its personnel had manipulated data which
the FDA used to evaluate product comparability and nonclinical (animal)
pharmacology as part of the biologics license application (BLA), which was
submitted and reviewed by the FDA.
With US$
50.0 billion (CHF 48.5 billion) in annual pharmaceutical sales, Swiss drugmaker
Roche came in at number two position in 2019
as its sales grew 11 percent driven by
its multiple sclerosis medicine Ocrevus, haemophilia drug Hemlibra and cancer medicines Tecentriq and Perjeta.
Roche’s newly introduced medicines generated US$ 5.53 billion (CHF 5.4 billion) in growth, helping offset the impact of the competition from biosimilars for its three best-selling drugs MabThera/Rituxan, Herceptin and Avastin.
In late 2019, after months of increased
antitrust scrutiny, Roche completed
its US$ 5.1 billion acquisition of Spark Therapeutics to strengthen its presence in
gene therapy.
Last year, J&J reported almost flat worldwide sales of US$ 82.1 billion. J&J’s pharmaceutical division generated US$ 42.20 billion and its medical devices and consumer health divisions brought in US$ 25.96 billion and US$ 13.89 billion respectively.
Since J&J’s consumer health division sells analgesics, digestive health along with beauty and oral care products, the US$ 5.43 billion in consumer health sales from over-the-counter drugs and women’s health products was only used in our assessment of J&J’s total pharmaceutical revenues. With combined pharmaceutical sales of US$ 47.63 billion, J&J made it to number three on our list.
While the sales of products like Stelara, Darzalex, Imbruvica, Invega Sustenna drove J&J’s pharmaceutical business to grow by 4 percent over 2018, the firm had to contend with generic competition against key revenue contributors Remicade and Zytiga.
US-headquartered Merck, which is known as
MSD (short for Merck Sharp & Dohme) outside the United States and
Canada, is set to significantly move up the rankings next year fueled by its
cancer drug Keytruda, which witnessed a 55
percent increase in sales to US$ 11.1 billion.
Merck reported total revenues of US$ 41.75 billion and also
announced it will spin off its women’s health drugs,
biosimilar drugs and older products to create a new pharmaceutical
company with US$ 6.5 billion in annual revenues.
The firm had anticipated 2020 sales between US$ 48.8 billion and US$ 50.3 billion however this week it announced that the coronavirus pandemic will reduce 2020 sales by more than $2 billion.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Humira holds on to remain world’s best-selling drug
AbbVie’s acquisition of Allergan comes as the firm faces the expiration of patent protection for Humira, which brought in a staggering US$ 19.2 billion in sales last year for
the company. AbbVie has failed to successfully acquire or develop a major new
product to replace the sales generated by its flagship drug.
In 2019, Humira’s US revenues increased 8.6 percent to US$ 14.86 billion while internationally, due
to biosimilar competition, the sales dropped 31.1 percent to US$ 4.30 billion.
Bristol Myers Squibb’s Eliquis, which is also marketed by Pfizer, maintained its number two position
and posted total sales of US$ 12.1 billion, a 23 percent increase over 2018.
While Bristol Myers Squibb’s immunotherapy treatment Opdivo, sold in partnership with Ono in Japan, saw sales increase from US$ 7.57 billion to US$ 8.0 billion, the growth paled in comparison to the US$ 3.9
billion revenue increase of Opdivo’s key immunotherapy competitor Merck’s Keytruda.
Keytruda took the number three spot in drug sales that
previously belonged to Celgene’s Revlimid, which witnessed a sales decline from US$ 9.69 billion to US$ 9.4 billion.
Cancer treatment Imbruvica, which is marketed
by J&J and AbbVie, witnessed a 30 percent increase in sales. With US$ 8.1
billion in 2019 revenues, it took the number five position.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Vaccines – Covid-19 turns competitors into partners
This year has been dominated by the single biggest health emergency in years — the novel coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic. As drugs continue to fail to meet expectations, vaccine development has received a lot of attention.
GSK reported the highest vaccine sales of all drugmakers with
total sales of US$ 8.4 billion (GBP 7.16 billion), a significant portion of its
total sales of US$ 41.8 billion (GBP 33.754 billion).
US-based Merck’s vaccine division also reported a significant increase in sales to US$ 8.0 billion and in 2019 received FDA and EU approval to market its Ebola vaccine Ervebo.
This is the first FDA-authorized vaccine against the deadly virus which causes
hemorrhagic fever and spreads from person to person through direct contact with
body fluids.
Pfizer and Sanofi also reported an increase in their vaccine sales to US$ 6.4
billion and US$ 6.2 billion respectively and the Covid-19 pandemic has recently
pushed drugmakers to move faster than ever before and has also converted
competitors into partners.
In a rare move, drug behemoths — Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) —joined hands to develop a vaccine for the novel coronavirus.
The two companies plan to start human trials
in the second half of this year, and if things go right, they will file
for potential approvals by the second half of 2021.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Our view
Covid-19 has brought the world economy to a grinding halt and shifted the global attention to the pharmaceutical industry’s capability to deliver solutions to address this pandemic.
Our compilation shows that vaccines and drugs
for infectious diseases currently form a tiny fraction of the total sales of
pharmaceutical companies and few drugs against infectious diseases rank high on
the sales list.
This could well explain the limited range of
options currently available to fight Covid-19. With the pandemic currently infecting
over 3 million people spread across more than 200 countries, we can safely
conclude that the scenario in 2020 will change substantially. And so should our
compilation of top drugs for the year.
View Our Interactive Dashboard on Top drugs by sales in 2019 (Free Excel Available)
Impressions: 54754
Global
pharmaceutical companies are increasingly focusing on the development of new
biologics. In fact, in 2016, nine out of the top
15 pharmaceutical drugs by sales were of biologic origin. This makes us wonder
what the future holds for manufacturers specializing in drugs that originate
from chemical synthesis.
This
week, PharmaCompass continued its analysis of the top pharma drugs by
sales to evaluate the drugs that registered large sales growth in 2016.
Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE!
Please
note that these are not the top-selling drugs, but are the top 10 drugs that
registered the maximum growth in global sales over 2015.
Interestingly, things didn’t appear that bad for drugs originating from chemical synthesis — while the top two drugs on the list were biologics, the remaining originated from chemical synthesis.
Here’s a list of drugs that witnessed the largest sales growth in 2016:
1. Opdivo (nivolumab) – Bristol-Myers Squibb
2016
sales: US$ 3,774 million
2015 sales:
US$ 942 million
Sales
growth: US$ 2,832 million
First
approved in 2014, Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Opdivo and Merck’s Keytruda — also known as checkpoint inhibitors — continued to stay on track to be among the top 20 best-selling drugs in the world by 2020. They represent the hot new field of immunotherapy and are known to have given 90-year old Jimmy Carter (former President of the United States) hope in his fight against cancer.
With
a sales growth of US$ 2.832 billion, Opdivo registered the highest sales growth
of any single drug in 2016. However, Bristol-Myers Squibb received a nasty
surprise last year when Opdivo did not demonstrate the desired slowdown in the
progress of advanced lung cancer in a trial, as compared to conventional
chemotherapy.
While Bristol-Myers’ stock price plunged on this news, Merck announced that not only did Keytruda succeed in a clinical trial as an initial treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer, but patients actually lived longer. Although Keytruda did not make it to our list of top 10 drugs by sales growth in 2016, it did register a sales increase of US$ 836 million, as its sales grew from US$ 566 million to US$ 1,402 million.
Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE!
2. Humira (adalimumab) – AbbVie
2016
sales: US$ 16,078 million
2015
sales: US$ 14,012 million
Sales
growth: US$ 2,066 million
Abbvie’s Humira (adalimumab)
juggernaut continued as it not only remained the best-selling drug in the
world, but also added another US$ 2 billion to its 2015 sales by generating
record sales of US $16.078 billion in 2016.
Last
year, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved Amgen’s Amjevita™ (adalimumab – atto) — a biosimilar of Humira®. Therefore, it remains to be seen if Humira will be able to sustain the momentum. Amjevita was approved for treating adults with a variety of medical conditions ranging from rheumatoid arthritis, plaque psoriasis, to ulcerative colitis.
3. Epclusa (sofosbuvir and velpatasvir) – Gilead
2016
sales: US$ 1,752 million (new launch)
Gilead’s third sofosbuvir-based regimen — Epclusa (sofosbuvir and velpatasvir) was approved by the US FDA in June 2016. It is the first and only all-oral, pan-genotypic single tablet regimen for chronic Hepatitis C virus infection. While Epclusa registered an impressive start, Gilead's other two sofosbuvir-based treatments — Sovaldi (sofosbuvir) and Harvoni (sofosbuvir and lepidasvir) — saw their combined sales decline by almost US$ 6 billion.
Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE!
4. Imbruvica (ibrutinib) — Johnson & Johnson / AbbVie
2016
sales: US$ 3,083 million
2015
sales: US$ 1,443 million
Sales
growth: US$ 1,640 million
Abbvie’s 2015 US$ 21 billion buy of Pharmacyclics seems to be paying off.
The Pharmacyclics buy was a way to get access to Imbruvica (ibrutinib), a cancer drug which
is co-marketed with Johnson & Johnson. It generated sales of US$ 3.083 billion in 2016. Imbruvica works by blocking a specific protein called Bruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK). In December 2011, Johnson & Johnson said it would pay Pharmacyclics as much as US$ 975 million to fund getting the drug to market in exchange for half the profits generated globally.
5. Eliquis (apixaban) -
Bristol-Myers Squibb / Pfizer
2016
sales: US$ 3,342 million
2015
sales: US$ 1,860 million
Sales
growth: US$ 1,483 million
Although
apixaban was the third-to-market
novel oral anticoagulant (NOAC), which is co-promoted by Pfizer and Bristol-Myers Squibb as Eliquis, it continues to unseat Johnson & Johnson’s Xarelto (rivaroxaban) as the leader in its
class based on total prescriptions. Rivaroxaban's total 2016 sales were US$
5.392 billion.
While Pfizer’s reports its sales as part of Alliance revenues, and exact sales are not known, Bristol-Myers Squibb results alone put Eliquis in the top 10 list. Generics are hot on their tail as, last month, Pfizer and Bristol-Myers’ filed suits against 16 generic makers to uphold their patents for apixaban.
6. Genvoya (elvitegravir,
cobicistat, emtricitabine, tenofovir alafenamide) — Gilead
2016
sales: US$ 1,484 million
2015
sales: US$ 45 million
Sales
growth: US$ 1,439 million
Genvoya has been the most
successful HIV treatment launch since the introduction of Atripla (the first
single-tablet regimen launched a decade ago). Gilead is the dominant HIV
player in the US market and has the top three most-prescribed HIV regimens in
the US.
Genvoya
adds Tenofovir Alafenamide (TAF) to already known
treatments. TAF based drugs have demonstrated a better safety profile. They
would also allow Gilead to maintain its dominance in the HIV market.
Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE!
7. Ibrance (palbociclib) — Pfizer
2016
sales: US$ 2,135 million
2015
sales: US$ 723 million
Sales
growth: US$ 1,412 million
Discovered
in Pfizer laboratories and approved by the US
FDA in February 2015, Ibrance is used in combination
with Letrozole as a first-line
treatment of postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor-positive, human
epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (ER+/HER2-) metastatic breast
cancer.
8. Triumeq (abacavir,
dolutegravir, lamivudine) – GlaxoSmithKline
2016
sales:US$ 2,151 million
2015
sales: US$ 905 million
Sales
growth: US$ 1,246 million
GlaxoSmithKline's HIV drugs business — ViiV Healthcare — has been enjoying sales growth with the introduction of Triumeq ® in its portfolio. While GSK is the major shareholder in ViiV Healthcare, Pfizer and Shionogi also have a stake. Triumeq® is the company’s first fixed-dose combination tablet for a once-daily single pill regimen that combines dolutegravir, an integrase inhibitor, with the nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors — abacavir and lamivudine.
9. Revlimid (lenalidomide) – Celgene
2016
sales: US$ 6,974 million
2015
sales: US$ 5,801 million
Sales
growth: US$ 1,173 million
Celgene’s Revlimid (lenalidomide) — a thalidomide-derivative introduced in 2004 as an immunomodulatory agent for the treatment of various cancers such as multiple myeloma — brought in US$ 5.8 billion in 2015, and grew another 20 percent this year, to US $6.974 billion. Revlimid now contributes more than 60 percent to Celgene's total sales of US$ 11.229 billion.
10. Xarelto (rivaroxaban) – Johnson & Johnson (US) and Bayer
2016
sales: US$ 5,392 million
2015
sales: US$ 4,255 million
Sales
growth: US$ 1,137 million
Bayer’s Xarelto, which is promoted by Johnson & Johnson in the United States, provided patients with an alternative to the old-guard therapy — warfarin. While rivaroxaban is competing with other
novel oral anticoagulants (NOAC) like Eliquis (apixaban) and Pradaxa (dabigatran), rivaroxaban has the
class lead in indications.
Xarelto
recently posted positive results in a large-scale Phase 3 study —COMPASS, involving 27,402 patients, that assessed the effect of the
blood thinner in preventing major adverse cardiac events (MACE).
The
trial was stopped a year early
on the advice of an independent Data Monitoring Committee, after the primary
endpoint of prevention of MACE (which includes cardiovascular death, myocardial
infarction and stroke) reached its pre-specified criteria for superiority over aspirin.
Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE!
Our
view
In QuintilesIMS Institute’s new annual drug spending report, analysts have forecasted that
over the coming five years the industry should continue to receive 40 to 45 new
drug approvals every year.
A quarter of all the drugs in late-stage development are now
focused on oncology. The rate of oncology drug development has hit such a
rapid pace that new drugs are superseding old ones in a matter of a few years.
It’s clear that this compilation will see radical changes next year. However, with eight out of the 10 fastest-selling drugs coming from chemical synthesis, traditional generic manufacturers still have a lot of opportunities to explore.
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Click here to Access All the 2016 Data (Excel version available) for FREE!
Impressions: 9289
This week, PharmaCompass brings you a compilation of the Drug Master Files (DMFs) updates at the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) over the past two quarters. These applications provide an overview of the products active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) manufacturers are investing in. And, they also give a sneak preview into the next possible first-to-file (FTF) generic challenges to patented drugs.
Here are some key findings from our compilation of the FDA’s DMF updates over the second and third quarter of 2016, details of which were provided in July and October:
India leads
the pack, as the number of filings remain the same
Over the period, there were a total of 379 updates of DMFs at the FDA. This number
indicates a pace in filings that is nearly the same as the previous quarters.
We had seen 180 DMFs updates in the last quarter (Q4) of 2015 and 190 in the first quarter (Q1) of 2016.
During the last
two quarters, the DMF updates were led by Indian companies, such as Macleods Pharmaceuticals (14 DMFs), MSN Labs (13 DMFs), Hetero
(12 DMFs), Lupin (9 DMFs), Cipla and Biophore. The other prominent companies were Mylan and Teva.
Companies
with compliance issues stay away
Unlike previous
quarters, where
companies with compliance problems continued to submit DMFs, the last two
quarters were slightly different, since companies like Zhejiang Hisun and Ipca
Laboratories did not submit DMFs.
However,
Emcure Pharmaceuticals — whose Pune facility was inspected by
the FDA last year and a warning letter was issued to the company for violations of current good manufacturing practices (cGMPs) in March this year — submitted one DMF (for Phytonadione)
While
China shut down antibiotic manufacturing in the Shijiazhuang
city, raising concerns about the global supply chain’s dependence on China, Sinopharm Weiqida Datong
Pharmaceutical, located about 300 kilometers away from Shijiazhuang, filed DMFs for the key building blocks of antibiotic manufacturing — 6-APA and 7-ACA.
Once
again, this filing reinforces the dependence of global
antibiotic manufacturing on China.
Click here to view all the updates of the second and third quarter of 2016 (Excel version available) for FREE!
Imminent FTF challenges
The
FTF challenges to Alvimopan Dihydrate (Merck’s Entereg), Apremilast (Celgene’s Otezla), Bosutinib (Pfizer’s Bosulib), Daclatasvir
Dihydrochloride (Bristol-Myer
Squibb’s Daklinza), Elvitegravir (an ingredient in Gilead’s Vitekta,
Stribild, Genvoya), Ibrutinib (AbbVie’s
Imbruvica), Ospemifene (Shionogi’s Osphena), Perampanel (Eisai’s Fycompa), Pomalidomide (Celgene’s Pomalyst), Regorafenib (Bayer’s Stivarga), Tofacitinib (Pfizer’s Xeljanz) and
Vortioxetine
Hydrobromide (Takeda’s Trintellix) seem to be imminent in
view of the recent filings of DMFs.
Roche’s 2014 acquisition of
InterMune for US $ 8.3 billion to gain rights to Esbriet (pirfenidone)
is likely to come under attack as three more DMFs were submitted during the
period under review.
The ink wasn’t dry on the deal papers of Pfizer’s US $1 4 billion acquisition of Medivation in August this year, when two more companies — Watson Pharma (now Allergan) and Scinopharm — submitted filings for Enzalutamide, the product for
which Pfizer paid all that money. This takes the total number of US submissions
for this product to seven.
Apixaban and Canagliflozin are most actively filed products
The most actively updated DMFs in the past six months were for the APIs of Bristol-Myer Squibb’s new-age anticoagulant Eliquis (Apixaban)
and Johnson & Johnson’s diabetes treatment Invokana (Canagliflozin). Sixteen DMFs were submitted for Apixaban along with nine for
Canagliflozin.
Products
like Dimethyl Fumarate and Teriflunomide — which were the
most frequently filed DMFs in our previous reports — continued to see vigorous filing activity.
Synbias Pharma made a submission
for Nelarabine, the only
submission for a Novartis product that was approved in 2005
and for which the only listed patent is expiring in June 2017. Similarly DSM’s submission of Dexpanthenol is the only DMF
listed for a product used in a variety of injectable and intravenous solution
products.
Established
pharmaceutical companies like Quimica Sintetica and Piramal Healthcare made submissions for products — Benznidazole and Norprostol — which are currently not approved in the United States, indicating the possibility of development projects being underway.
Our view
With drug filings ranging from multiple FTFs to cannabis derivatives,
updates over the two quarters have shown that regardless of the compliance
news, activity in the API industry is extremely robust.
You can view the PharmaCompass compilation of
the new DMF filings by clicking here or simply by sending us an email to get
your own Excel version of the new submissions.
Click here to view all the updates of the second and third quarter of 2016 (Excel version available) for FREE!
Impressions: 4466
We always knew math was fuzzy, but never imagined addition could get so
complicated.
A recent publication on 2014 Global Prescription Medication Statistics listed the top pharmaceutical corporations by revenues, the best
selling products along with the top therapy areas.
The list, based on data published by IMS Health,
caught us by surprise since a previous publication by FiercePharma had a completely different order when ranking the top 15 pharmaceutical
companies.
As the difference in revenues of the top-10 companies was in excess of $60 billion and IMS Health’s data is an industry standard for decision making, we dug deeper to analyze the correlation between the information in the annual reports and IMS Health’s statistics.
Which pharmaceutical company is the largest?
Simply put, the answer is, ‘it depends’ on how you define a pharmaceutical company.
Should divisions like diagnostics, animal health, vaccines, consumer
health be counted when determining the size of a pharmaceutical company?
FiercePharma, in their analysis, used the total
revenue of all divisions of the organizations to determine the largest
organization; in their case it is Johnson & Johnson.
IMS determines their numbers by measuring “prescription sales and dispensing” and hence, excludes divisions like diagnostics, consumer health and animal health, making Novartis the largest
company.
As currency exchange rate fluctuations have their own, big role, in
determining the size of organizations, we believed it would be best to share
the revenues, as presented, so that you can draw your own conclusions.
Table 1/ Sales comparison for top pharmaceutical companies in 2014 from different sources (IMS, Fierce Pharma and Annual Reports)
Big Pharma
IMS Rank
IMS Sales
(US $Mn)
Fierce Pharma Rank
Fierce Pharma Sales (US $Mn)
Group Sales based on the Annual Report
(Currency as reported, Mn)
Novartis
1
51,307
2
57,996
USD
57,996
Pfizer
2
44,929
4
49,605
USD
49,605
Sanofi
3
40,037
5
43,070
Euro
33,770
Roche
4
37,607
3
49,866
CHF 49,866
Merck & Co
5
36,550
6
42,237
USD
42,237
Johnson &
Johnson
6
36,422
1
74,331
USD
74,331
AstraZeneca
7
33,313
8
26,095
USD
26,095
Glaxo SmithKline
8
31,470
7
37,960
GBP
23,006
Teva
9
26,001
11
20,272
USD
20,272
Gilead Sciences
10
23,673
10
24,474
USD
24,890
Amgen
11
20,473
12
20,063
USD
20,063
Lilly
12
19,909
14
19,615
USD 19,615
AbbVie
13
19,049
13
19,960
USD
19,960
Bayer
14
18,347
9
25,470
Euro
42,239
Bristol-Myers
Squibb
Not
in Top 20
15
15,879
USD
15,879
NB: Mn is million
Click here to access and download all
the 2014 data (Excel version available) for FREE!
Since each group has multiple divisions, we further split the sales for
you to brainstorm:
Table 2/ Sales comparison of the different divisions of top
pharmaceutical companies in 2014 (Annual Reports in Mn)
Big Pharma
Pharma Division
Vaccine Division
Generics
Consumer Health
Other Divisions
Medical Devices/ Diagnostics Division
Animal Health Division
Divestures/ Other adjustments
Novartis
USD 31,791
Sandoz USD 9,562
Alcon USD 10,827
USD 5,816
Pfizer
USD 45,708
USD 3,446
USD 451
Sanofi
Euro 22,578
Euro 3,974
Euro 1,805
Euro 3,337
Euro 2,076
Roche
CHF 38,969
CHF 10,897
Merck & Co
USD 30,740
USD 5,302
USD 6,195
Johnson &
Johnson
USD 32,313
USD 14,496
USD 27,522
AstraZeneca
USD 26,095
Glaxo SmithKline
GBP 18,670
GBP 4,336
Teva
USD 10,458
USD 9,814
Gilead Sciences
USD 24,474
USD 416
Amgen
USD
19,327
USD 736
Lilly
USD 16,481
USD 788
USD 2,346
AbbVie
USD 19,960
Bayer
Euro 12,052
Euro 7,923
Euro 22,264
Bristol-Myers
Squibb
USD 15,879
Click here to access and download all
the 2014 data (Excel version available) for FREE!
Not sure that it adds any extra clarity on what should define a global pharmaceutical company…
Since the various divisions make
companies complicated to assess, what about product sales?
The good news is that we have a winner!
Humira®, AbbVie’s monoclonal antibody Adalimumab, used to treat rheumatoid and other types of arthritis, is the highest selling product globally. IMS reported Humira’s annual sales for 2014 at $11,844 million, while AbbVie mentions their sales of Humira at $12,543 million, the difference: a mere $700 million! However, with IMS gathering data across various points of the supply chain, and the recent volatility of the currency markets, we believe that a difference of 5.5% of total sales is within range of reason.
Unfortunately, things stopped making sense the moment we reached the
number-two product on the IMS list. Lantus®,
Sanofi’s insulin glargine, recorded sales of Euro 6,344 million (based on Sanofi’s 2014 annual report), while IMS mentions Lantus sales were $10,331 million last year. In addition, Sanofi has an 11% growth rate reported while IMS indicates a growth of 30%.
So unless the Euro/Dollar exchange rate moves back towards the 1.5
range, there seems to be a serious difference in the way the product sales are
calculated by companies and by IMS.
Using information available in the annual reports and other company declarations, we attempted to compare IMS’ Top 20 Global Products 2014 with available public information, to only find more complications!
Table 3/ Sales comparison of the top pharmaceutical products in 2014 (IMS vs Annual Reports)
Products
IMS Rank
IMS Sales (US $Mn)
Annual Reports Sales (US $Mn)
Pharma
Compass Rank
Big Pharma
Currency
Annual Reports Sales in Mn
Marketing Partner
Marketing Partner Annual Report Sales
(US $Mn)
Humira®
1
11,844
12,543
1
Abbvie
USD
12,543
Lantus®
2
10,331
7,676
5
Sanofi
Euro
6,344
Sovaldi®
3
9,375
10,283
2
Gilead Sciences
USD
10,283
Abilify®
4
9,285
7,556
6
Bristol
Myers-Squibb
USD
2,020
Otsuka
5,536
Enbrel®
5
8,707
8,538
4
Amgen
USD
4,688
Pfizer
3,850
Seretide®
6
8,652
6,589
8
GSK
GBP
4,229
Crestor®
7
8,473
5,512
11
AstraZeneca
USD
5,512
Remicade®
8
8,097
9,880
3
Johnson &
Johnson
USD
6,868
Merck & Co.
2,372
Mitsubishi
Tanabe
640
Nexium®
9
7,681
3,655
19
AstraZeneca
USD
3,655
Mabthera®
10
6,552
6,936
7
Roche
CHF
5,603
Roche
1,305
Avastin®
11
6,070
6,449
9
Roche
CHF
6,417
Lyrica®
12
6,002
5,168
12
Pfizer
USD
5,168
Herceptin®
13
5,564
6,306
10
Roche
CHF
6,275
Spiriva®
14
5,483
3,917
17
Boehringer
Euro
3,237
Januvia®
15
4,991
3,931
16
Merck & Co.
USD
3,931
Copaxone®
16
4,788
4,237
14
Teva
USD
4,237
Novorapid®
17
4,718
2,835
20
Novo Nordisk
DKK
17,449
Neulasta®
18
4,627
4,596
13
Amgen
USD
4,596
Symbicort®
19
4,535
3,801
18
AstraZeneca
USD
3,801
Lucentis®
20
4,437
4,152
15
Novartis
USD
2,441
Roche
1,711
Click here to access and download all
the 2014 data (Excel version available) for FREE!
It’s clear that the methods used to determine product sales are considerably different between IMS and the pharmaceutical companies, however there is a range of consistency as well. How accurate is each information really depends on the analyst’s point of view.
Our take:
With over $350 billion in total sales, we have provided our raw data for your review since we are certain that there are opportunities worth capitalizing
upon and others, which may not be worthwhile to pursue.
While the assessment of pharmaceutical sales is far more complicated
than what we had originally imaged, the focus of Big Pharma on small molecules
is on Hepatitis C drugs (Sofosbuvir, Olysio, AbbVie Hep C), blood thinners, Eliquis® (Apixaban), Xarelto®(Rivaroxaban) and of course ‘tinib’ cancer treatments.
Table 4/ Growth of ‘tinib’ cancer treatments in 2014 (Annual Reports)
Products
Big Pharma
Sales (US $Mn) 2013
Sales (US $Mn) 2014
Growth (%)
Ibrutinib
Pharmacyclics,
Inc
(now
AbbVie)
14
492
3414%
Dasatinib
Bristol-Myers
Squibb
1280
1493
17%
Trametinib
GSK
10
68
580%
Nilotinib
Novartis
1266
1529
21%
Ruxolitinib
Novartis
163
279
71%
Ceritinib
Novartis
Not
launched
31
Sunitinib
Maleate
Pfizer
1204
1174
-2%
Crizotinib
Pfizer
282
438
55%
Axitinib
Pfizer
319
410
29%
Tofacitinib
Citrate
Pfizer
114
308
170%
Click here to access and download all
the 2014 data (Excel version available) for FREE!
However, Big Pharma is now all about biologics.
IMS’s data indicates that the top 10 products have only 5 biologics, while our calculations have 8 out of the top 10 products as biologics. The future strategy is best summed up by the statement in Bristol-Myers Squibb’s annual report “Just 5 years ago, we had about 40% of our development projects in biologics. If we look forward 3-5 years, we believe that number could potentially grow to about 75%”.
The barriers of entry for generic competition and potential windfalls have made rivals come together to co-market Synagis® (AbbVie & AstraZeneca), Remicade® (Johnson & Johnson, Merck and Tanabe), Xolair® and Lucentis® (Roche & Novartis).
Our pharmaceutical whisper (phisper): join the bio-age or bio-degrade!
Impressions: 12778