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STOCK RECAP #PipelineProspector

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Pipeline Prospector Nov 2024: Trump’s HHS pick drags down jab makers’ stocks; Novartis, Merck, Roche ink billion-dollar deals
In November, the markets responded to US President-elect Donald Trump’s picks, particularly the choice of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). Given that RFK Jr. is known as an anti-vaccine activist, stocks of Pfizer, Novavax, and Moderna dipped by 10 percent, 10 percent and 20 percent respectively during the month. Vaccine makers in Europe, such as GSK and Bavarian Nordic, also met a similar fate, and their stocks were down by 11 percent and 9 percent respectively for the month.Overall, the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index (NBI) fell by 0.11 percent — from 4,650.07 to 4,644.81 in November. The SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) rebounded 2.67 percent from 97.03 to 99.62, while the S&P Biotechnology Select Industry Index (SPSIBI) ended higher by 2.68 percent — from 7,561.3 to 7,763.7. Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for November 2024 Newsmakers (Free Excel)Pharma giants Novartis, Merck, Roche spark November’s billion-dollar deal bonanzaSwiss drugmakers — Novartis and Roche — dominated this month’s dealmaking landscape. Novartis acquired Kate Therapeutics for up to US$ 1.1 billion, targeting Duchenne muscular dystrophy and other neuromuscular diseases.Novartis also committed US$ 150 million upfront to computational drug discovery firm Schrödinger (stock up 21 percent) in a research collaboration and license deal that has the potential to reach US$ 2.45 billion.In yet another deal, Novartis committed US$ 745 million to Ratio Therapeutics for a radiotherapeutic candidate being developed to cure cancer. The company CEO Vas Narasimhan plans to keep pursuing strategic acquisitions under US$ 5 billion. Over the last five years, the company has spent approximately US$ 19.4 billion in deals.Roche entered into a US$ 1.8 billion deal with Flare Therapeutics to target previously undrugged cancer transcription factors (i.e. proteins that regulate the transcription of genes). It also acquired Poseida Therapeutics for up to US$ 1.5 billion. The acquisition of Poseida (stock up 350 percent) brings innovative CAR-T programs for solid tumors and autoimmune diseases within its fold.American drugmaker Sarepta Therapeutics (stock up 9 percent) signed a landmark deal with Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (stock up 35 percent), valued at up to US$ 11.4 billion. It includes an  upfront payment of US$ 500 million, an equity investment of US$ 325 million, and worldwide rights to seven RNA-based programs (four clinical, three preclinical). Milestone payments and royalties make up for US$ 10 billion. The collaboration “affords multiple potential blockbuster opportunities” across skeletal muscle, cardiac, and central nervous system disorders.BioNTech (stock up 5 percent) is buying Chinese biotech firm Biotheus for up to US$ 950 million. And Merck signed a US$ 3.3 billion deal with China’s LaNova Medicines for LM-299, a bispecific antibody. Both these deals manifest growing interest in PD-(L)1xVEGF bispecific antibodies, intended for treating solid tumors. Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for November 2024 Newsmakers (Free Excel) Journey Medical, UCB secure FDA nods for skin treatments; BridgeBio’s Attruby to take on Pfizer’s VyndaqelBridgeBio Pharma (stock up 8 percent) made an "improbable comeback" after a disastrous trial failure and two rounds of layoffs. It clinched FDA’s nod for Attruby, the first new treatment for transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy (a rare heart disease) in over five years. With this potentially transforming treatment option, BridgeBio gains a foothold in a lucrative market dominated by Pfizer’s blockbuster Vyndaqel. Attruby is expected to bring in US$ 2.5 billion in peak sales by 2035.In dermatology, Journey Medical secured approval for Emrosi, an innovative oral antibiotic developed along with Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories for treating rosacea (an inflammatory skin condition). UCB’s Bimzelx received its fifth FDA approval in just over a year, becoming the first therapy to selectively inhibit two proteins —  IL-17A and IL-17F — to treat hidradenitis suppurativa, a painful skin condition. And Johnson & Johnson’s oral drug icotrokinra achieved successful phase 3 results in moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis (a skin condition where inflamed and scaly plaques appear on the skin).In oncology and hematology, Syndax Pharmaceuticals’ Revuforj became the first menin inhibitor approved for relapsed or refractory acute leukemia. And Azurity Pharmaceuticals bagged an FDA nod for Danziten (nilotinib), a formulation of Novartis’ blockbuster drug Tasigna that allows patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (a blood cancer that begins with the bone marrow) to take their medication without fasting.Autolus Therapeutics achieved its first FDA approval. Its med Aucatzyl for relapsed or refractory B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia became the first FDA-approved CAR-T therapy without the agency’s drug safety program requirement, known as Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategies (REMS). Its REMS-free status could simplify its administration and increase its adoption among treatment centers.Other significant nods include PTC Therapeutics’ Kebilidi – the first-ever FDA approval for a gene therapy directly administered to the brain and, Jazz Pharmaceuticals’ Ziihera for HER2-positive biliary tract cancer. Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for November 2024 Newsmakers (Free Excel) Novo, AbbVie, Cassava face trial failures; FDA rejects Lexicon, Applied Therapeutics’ drugsThe US Food and Drug Administration’s advisory committee rejected Lexicon Pharmaceuticals’ diabetes drug Zynquista, citing diabetic ketoacidosis risks for type 1 diabetes patients with chronic kidney disease. In 2023, the drug had been approved for heart failure.Applied Therapeutics saw the FDA reject its galactosemia drug, govorestat, dampening hopes for its first commercial product. Cassava Sciences’ Alzheimer’s drug simufilam, once hailed as a potential breakthrough, missed pivotal trial endpoints amid ongoing fraud investigations involving neuroscientist Hoau-Yan Wang. Critics questioned the validity of the preclinical and early clinical data, suggesting that the promising results may have been overstated or fabricated.Lexicon, Cassava, and Applied Therapeutics’ stocks plummeted 40 percent, 85 percent, and 78 percent, respectively.AbbVie (stock down 10 percent) faced a significant blow as emraclidine, the centerpiece of its US$ 8.7 billion Cerevel acquisition, failed to meet primary endpoints in two pivotal phase 2 schizophrenia trials.Novo Nordisk (stock down 5 percent) decided to discontinue kidney disease drug ocedurenone after a phase 3 trial failure, resulting in an impairment loss of approximately US$ 816.5 million. Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for November 2024 Newsmakers (Free Excel) Our viewIn the third quarter of 2024, Pfizer recorded a 32 percent increase in its year-on-year sales, ending a six-quarter streak where either Eli Lilly or Novo Nordisk were leading in revenue growth. Despite this feat, Pfizer’s stock took a beating on the bourses due to RFK Jr’s nomination to head the HHS.Trump has nominated another controversial personality — Johns Hopkins’ surgeon Martin Makary — to head the FDA. Makary has been a critic of Covid-19 mandates such as masking and vaccines. While the markets didn’t react to his nomination, going forward, we foresee political headwinds causing some turbulence in the biopharma industry. Access the Pipeline Prospector Dashboard for November 2024 Newsmakers (Free Excel) 

Impressions: 8322

https://www.pharmacompass.com/pipeline-prospector-blog/pipeline-prospector-nov-2024-trump-s-hhs-pick-drags-down-jab-makers-stocks-novartis-merck-roche-ink-billion-dollar-deals

#PharmaFlow by PHARMACOMPASS
05 Dec 2024

WEEKLY NEWS RECAP #Phispers

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Astra invests US$ 2 bn in US R&D; key AbbVie asset from US$ 8.7 bn Cerevel buy flunks phase 2 trials
This week’s Phispers is packed with news about deals. First, AstraZeneca announced a US$ 2 billion investment in the United States to enhance its R&D capabilities. Second, BioNTech said it is acquiring Chinese biotech Biotheus for up to US$ 950 million, gaining rights to a potential Keytruda competitor.Third, Novartis forged a US$ 2.45 billion collaboration with Schrödinger, investing US$ 150 million upfront to leverage computational modeling for non-cancer drug discovery programs. And fourth, Roche has partnered with Flare Therapeutics in a deal worth up to US$ 1.8 billion to explore new pathways for cancer treatment.With the US electing Donald Trump as its 47th President, there are concerns over the role Robert F. Kennedy Jr. might play in the new administration. He has said he plans to fire 600 employees from the National Institutes of Health (NIH).Autolus Therapeutics received approval from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for its CAR-T therapy — Aucatzyl. The agency also okayed Kebilidi, PTC Therapeutics’ gene therapy to treat an ultra-rare disease.In news from clinical trials, AbbVie faced a major setback as its schizophrenia drug emraclidine failed mid-stage trials. And, FDA has proposed removing oral phenylephrine from over-the-counter cold medicines, questioning its effectiveness as a decongestant.Astra invests US$ 2 bn in US R&D, manufacturing; raises 2024 revenue, profit guidanceAstraZeneca has announced a US$ 2 billion investment in the US to enhance its R&D capabilities, as well as expand manufacturing facilities, bringing its total investment in the US to US$ 3.5 billion by 2026. In light of strong third-quarter results, AstraZeneca raised its 2024 revenue and profit guidance, now expecting high-teens percentage growth, up from a previous forecast of mid-teens.Despite this, the British-Swedish drugmaker is facing scrutiny due to ongoing investigations involving its operations in China. CEO Pascal Soriot stated that they are not privy to the details of these investigations, but are committed to cooperating with authorities if approached. Astra remains confident in its ambitious goal of achieving US$ 80 billion in total revenue by 2030.BioNTech buys Biotheus for up to US$ 950 mn, gains potential Keytruda competitorBioNTech has announced the acquisition of Chinese biotech firm Biotheus for US$ 800 million, aiming to enhance its oncology strategy by gaining full global rights to the investigational bispecific antibody BNT327/PM8002. This antibody targets both PD-L1 and VEGF-A pathways, positioning it as a potential competitor to established treatments like Merck’s Keytruda. The deal includes up to US$ 150 million in milestone payments.Novartis, Schrödinger ink potential US$ 2.45 bn deal: Novartis has entered into a collaboration with Schrödinger, paying US$ 150 million upfront as part of a multi-target research agreement aimed at advancing several non-cancer drug discovery programs. The deal includes potential milestone payments of up to US$ 2.3 billion, along with an expanded software licensing agreement that enhances Novartis’ access to Schrödinger’s computational modeling technologies to support their drug discovery efforts.Roche in over US$ 1.8 bn oncology pact with Flare: Roche has entered into a strategic collaboration with Flare Therapeutics, committing US$ 70 million upfront as part of a deal potentially worth over US$ 1.8 billion, aimed at targeting previously undrugged transcription factors in cancer. Transcription factors are proteins that bind to specific DNA sequences and regulate gene expression, playing a crucial role in controlling cellular processes.AbbVie’s schizophrenia med, key asset from US$ 8.7 bn Cerevel buy, flunks phase 2 trialsAbbVie has announced that its schizophrenia drug, emraclidine, failed to meet the primary endpoints in two pivotal phase 2 trials. The drug was the centerpiece of AbbVie’s US$ 8.7 billion acquisition of Cerevel Therapeutics, which positioned the drug as a cornerstone of its neuroscience strategy. With shrinking Humira (adalimumab) sales, and the failure of this key asset, investors have begun questioning AbbVie’s long-term growth prospects.RFK Jr. says he’ll fire 600 staff from NIH on day 1 of Trump 2.0; may pick new FDA headRobert F. Kennedy (RFK) Jr., the former independent presidential candidate, is known to be a vaccine skeptic and an advocate for various unorthodox and unproven treatments. Public health experts are worried about how he could influence key government agencies. President-elect Donald Trump has promised to let RFK Jr. “go wild” on health.RFK Jr. has suggested that on the first day of Trump’s second term, he plans to fire 600 employees from the National Institutes of Health (NIH). According to an Endpoints News article, RFK Jr. could pick an unconventional candidate to head the FDA. While Kennedy’s exact role remains somewhat ambiguous, he has expressed ambitions to reorganize health agencies and eliminate what he describes as corruption within them.Autolus’ CAR-T therapy bags FDA nod, to compete with Gilead’s Tecartus, Novartis’ KymriahAutolus Therapeutics has made a significant leap in the CAR-T therapy landscape with its first FDA approval. Aucatzyl (obecabtagene autoleucel) was greenlit for treating adults with relapsed or refractory B-cell precursor acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL), a type of leukemia that either returns after remission or doesn’t respond to treatment.The approval has positioned Aucatzyl as a formidable competitor in the CD19 CAR-T arena, where it will go head-to-head with established therapies like Gilead’s Tecartus (brexucabtagene autoleucel) and Novartis’ Kymriah (tisagenlecleucel). Notably, Aucatzyl is the first CAR-T therapy approved without FDA’s drug safety program requirement, known as Risk Evaluation Mitigation Strategy (REMS). This could simplify its administration and increase its adoption among treatment centers.FDA okays PTC’s gene therapy for ultra-rare disorder: FDA has approved Kebilidi (eladocagene exuparvovec-tneq), PTC Therapeutics’ gene therapy to treat a potential fatal enzyme deficiency disorder. Kebilidi is a one-time treatment for children and adults with an ultra-rare inherited disorder known as aromatic l-amino acid decarboxylase (AADC) deficiency.FDA may pull popular cold meds from shelves: For decades, consumers have relied on oral phenylephrine products to get relief from nasal congestion. However, FDA has said these meds do not deliver the promised relief and has proposed the removal of oral phenylephrine, the active ingredient in many over-the-counter cold and allergy medications. If finalized, this decision would require pharmacies to remove numerous products from their shelves, including NyQuil, Benadryl, and Sudafed. 

Impressions: 1089

https://www.pharmacompass.com/radio-compass-phisper/astra-invests-us-2-bn-in-us-r-d-key-abbvie-asset-from-us-8-7-bn-cerevel-buy-flunks-phase-2-trials

#Phispers by PHARMACOMPASS
14 Nov 2024

NEWS #PharmaBuzz

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https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotech/atais-schizophrenia-drug-fails-improve-cognition-phase-2-study

FIERCE BIOTECH
28 Jul 2025

https://www.biospace.com/business/abbvie-revamps-emraclidine-expectations-after-mid-stage-schizophrenia-failure

BIOSPACE
31 Jan 2025

https://www.biopharmadive.com/news/bms-karxt-schizophrenia-approval-abbvie/724555/

BIOPHARMADIVE
19 Aug 2024

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/abbvie-completes-acquisition-of-cerevel-therapeutics-302212336.html

PR NEWSWIRE
01 Aug 2024
AbbVie to acquire Cerevel for $8.7 billion
AbbVie to acquire Cerevel for $8.7 billion

07 Dec 2023

// Ananya M. Rajesh REUTERS

https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/abbvie-buy-drug-developer-cerevel-87-billion-2023-12-06/

Ananya M. Rajesh REUTERS
07 Dec 2023